Question Feed | Metaculus

Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

Market Pulse Challenge

POTUS Predictions

Topics

Bright Line Watch

🇹🇼🇨🇳

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Vox's Future Perfect

categories

Health & Pandemics

Environment & Climate

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Artificial Intelligence

See all categories

About
API

FAQ
forecasting resources
For Journalists

Contact
Careers

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant?

Key Factor

DPP's recent election performance on not directly related issues

Key Factor

DPP's recent election performance on not directly related issues

When will Commonwealth Fusion System's SPARC tokamak first demonstrate net power (Q > 1)?

9.4 months this week

Will humans go extinct before 2100?

Key Factor

Possibility of AI smarter than humans, with goal of wiping out humans

Key Factor

Possibility of AI smarter than humans, with goal of wiping out humans

Will North Korea test another nuclear device before 2026?

China Nuclear Threat For Taiwan Interference?

US-China war before 2035?

US-China war before 2035?

1

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025?

Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between India and Pakistan before 2027?

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2030?

Key Factor

China Needs to keep Iran as a Proxy

Key Factor

China Needs to keep Iran as a Proxy

Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?

Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024?