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0 comments
28 forecasters

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

27%chance
27 comments
225 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

23%chance
5 comments
155 forecasters

Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?

resultNo

Biosecurity Tournament Hidden Period Over

14
0 comments
Biosecurity Tournament
2 comments
15 forecasters

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

Current estimate
Sep 2045

Announcing the Biosecurity Forecasting Tournament

0 comments

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply

7
0 comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
1 comment
38 forecasters

If there is a biotechnological or bioengineered organism catastrophe this century, when will it happen?

Current estimate
Mar 2052

Update: the variants vs. the vaccines

0 comments

The new variants and the next phase of the pandemic

0 comments