Respiratory Outlook July Update: Screwworm continues US spread as Ebola outbreak surges in DRC40 comments
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?22.8% chance332727 comments228228 forecasters22.8%chance
Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?result: no455 comments155155 forecastersResolvedNo
Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?result: no333 comments6464 forecastersResolvedNo
Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?20% chance20 comments2828 forecasters20%chance
When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?Sep 2045 (Dec 2031 - Apr 2067)522 comments1515 forecastersSep 2045 (Dec 2031 - Apr 2067)
If there is a biotechnological or bioengineered organism catastrophe this century, when will it happen?Mar 2052 (Jan 2040 - Mar 2065)911 comment3838 forecastersMar 2052 (Jan 2040 - Mar 2065)
Open letter: Urgent need for expanded surveillance and forecasting of novel SAR-CoV-2 variants0 comments
Respiratory Outlook May Update: Low Chance for Hantavirus Spread as Measles Forecast Drops Again30 comments