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0
comments
28
forecasters
Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?
27%
chance
27
comments
225
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
23%
chance
5
comments
155
forecasters
Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?
result
No
Biosecurity Tournament Hidden Period Over
14
0
comments
Biosecurity Tournament
2
comments
15
forecasters
When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?
Current estimate
Sep 2045
Announcing the Biosecurity Forecasting Tournament
0
comments
Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply
7
0
comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
1
comment
38
forecasters
If there is a biotechnological or bioengineered organism catastrophe this century, when will it happen?
Current estimate
Mar 2052
Update: the variants vs. the vaccines
0
comments
The new variants and the next phase of the pandemic
0
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