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4 comments
13 forecasters

How many deaths from Tuberculosis will occur globally in the following years?

1 comment
5 forecasters

How many Tuberculosis cases (per 100k people) will occur globally in the following years?

condition

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

21 forecasters
if yes
if no

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

0.646

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

0.957
1010 comments
21
21 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
condition

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

24 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

13%
13%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

0%
0%
77 comments
24
24 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
4 comments
21 forecasters

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

61.8%chance
2 comments
27 forecasters

How many deaths in the US will be due to antibiotic-resistant infections in 2035?

Current estimate
75.9k deaths

Sharpen the Respiratory Outlook for 2025/26

0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
3 comments
59 forecasters

What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?

12 comments
53 forecasters

Will the undiagnosed disease currently spreading in the Democratic Republic of the Congo be identified as Influenza, RSV, or COVID-19 before January 7, 2025?

resultNo
0 comments
15 forecasters

Five years after AGI, what will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease?

Current estimate
68.8 deaths per 100k