Will the 2026 suspected pneumonic plague outbreak in Russia result in 10 fatalities before 2027?1.6% chance51010 comments3636 forecasters1.6%chance
What will be the maximum weekly new hospital admissions per 100,000 for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2026/27 season?11111 comments1313 forecasters
How many New World Screwworm animal cases will be confirmed in the US in 2027?73.1 cases (33.6 - 185)277 comments1515 forecasters73.1 cases (33.6 - 185)
Will a case of Bundibugyo Ebola disease be first confirmed in the US before July 2027?7% chance177 comments1616 forecasters7%chance
How many Clade I Mpox cases will have been reported in the US before 2027?>100 cases (89 - >100)1717 comments1717 forecasters>100 cases (89 - >100)
Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?2% chance21212 comments2626 forecasters2%chance
Will a case of Bundibugyo Ebola disease be first confirmed in the US before 2027?5% chance11111 comments6464 forecasters5%chance
Will a novel human-infectious pandemic originate in these countries before 2100?11 comment33 forecasters
What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?3131 comments3131 forecasters
When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?2626 comments2727 forecasters
Will at least 5 non-passengers be linked to the MV Hondius hantavirus outbreak before August 2026?result: no35959 comments221221 forecastersResolvedNo
Will WHO declare hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2027?0.1% chance52020 comments118118 forecasters0.1%chance
Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?result: yes434949 comments238238 forecastersResolvedYes
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?25% chance342727 comments231231 forecasters25%chance
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026? → Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?77 comments2525 forecasters
Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2030?18% chance122 comments2020 forecasters18%chance
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?result: no62020 comments7171 forecastersResolvedNo