Respiratory Outlook July Update: Screwworm continues US spread as Ebola outbreak surges in DRC40 comments
Will a novel human-infectious pandemic originate in these countries before 2100?11 comment33 forecasters
Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2030?18% chance122 comments1919 forecasters18%chance
Will WHO declare hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2027?0.1% chance52020 comments107107 forecasters0.1%chance
Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?result: yes434949 comments238238 forecastersResolvedYes
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026? → Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?77 comments2525 forecasters
Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?5% chance31212 comments2323 forecasters5%chance
Will there be any human cases of the novel coronavirus, HKU5-CoV-2, before July 1, 2025?result: no8787 comments7878 forecastersResolvedNo
When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?32424 comments2222 forecasters
What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?33434 comments2626 forecasters
Will the undiagnosed disease currently spreading in the Democratic Republic of the Congo be identified as Influenza, RSV, or COVID-19 before January 7, 2025?result: no71212 comments5353 forecastersResolvedNo
What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?833 comments6060 forecasters
What will be the magnitude of the maximum weekly rate of COVID-19 hospitalizations occurring in the United States between June 1 and October 5, 2024?4.84 (4.7 - 5)3737 comments2222 forecastersResolved4.9