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4 comments
21 forecasters

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

61.8%chance
1 comment
9 forecasters

Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?

50%chance
22 comments
144 forecasters

Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?

resultYes
4 comments
3 forecasters

How many cluster-randomized trials will be published before 2027 assessing whether far-UVC reduces transmission of airborne pathogens?

Current estimate
4.63 CRT
1 comment
45 forecasters

New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?

resultNo
6 comments
118 forecasters

Efficacy confirmation of a new Alzheimer's treatment protocol?

resultNo
2 comments
12 forecasters

Will the cancer pill AOH1996 enter Phase III clinical trials before January 1, 2027?

18.7%chance

🔬FRO-Casting to Support a New Research Model

10
66 comments
FRO-casting

⚕️Primum Non Nocere: A Physician’s Perspective on AI in Medicine

10
0 comments
Metaculus Journal Archives

From Reduction to Elimination: Replicating the Successes of Historical Tuberculosis Control

5
0 comments
Metaculus Journal Archives