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4
comments
21
forecasters
Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?
61.8%
chance
1
comment
9
forecasters
Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?
50%
chance
22
comments
144
forecasters
Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?
result
Yes
4
comments
3
forecasters
How many cluster-randomized trials will be published before 2027 assessing whether far-UVC reduces transmission of airborne pathogens?
Current estimate
4.63 CRT
1
comment
45
forecasters
New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?
result
No
6
comments
118
forecasters
Efficacy confirmation of a new Alzheimer's treatment protocol?
result
No
2
comments
12
forecasters
Will the cancer pill AOH1996 enter Phase III clinical trials before January 1, 2027?
18.7%
chance
🔬FRO-Casting to Support a New Research Model
10
6
6
comments
FRO-casting
⚕️Primum Non Nocere: A Physician’s Perspective on AI in Medicine
10
0
comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
From Reduction to Elimination: Replicating the Successes of Historical Tuberculosis Control
5
0
comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
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