Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.
0 comments
8 forecasters
What percentage of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
0.668%
627 comments
1.8k forecasters
When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
Current estimate
Aug 2033
Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.
3 comments
12 forecasters
What will be the best performance on OSWorld by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
75.3%
2 comments
120 forecasters
Before 2030, how many new AI labs will be leading labs within 2 years of their founding?
0 or 151.2%
2 or 334.6%
4 or 510.8%
25 comments
1.3k forecasters
Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?
15%chance
8 comments
132 forecasters
By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?
32%chance
21 comments
299 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
26%chance