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Will Haiti hold the first round of its presidential election before September 1, 2026?

1% chance

1

12

12 forecasters

1%chance

Who will win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

6

6 forecasters

The 2026 US Midterms Tracker is Live!

8

Will the 2026 U.S. midterm elections be considered "free and fair"?

90% chance

3

45

45 forecasters

90%chance

Announcing the US Midterms 2026 Tournament - $10,000 Prize Pool

10

Will a U.S. federal or state court prevent certification of any statewide election result in the following years because of fraud?

129

129 forecasters

Will Spain hold a general election before May 23, 2027?

50% chance

2

10

10 forecasters

50%chance

What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

15

64

64 forecasters

In the following U.S. presidential elections, will any state fail to submit a slate of electoral votes to Congress by the safe harbor deadline?

105

105 forecasters

Which option will match the official nationwide voter turnout in Hungary's 2026 parliamentary election?

102 102 comments

103

103 forecasters

Which list will win the most seats in Bulgaria’s 2026 parliamentary election?

1

125 125 comments

123

123 forecasters

How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election?

16

112

112 forecasters

How many seats will each party win in the Next Australian federal election (2028)

1

3

3 forecasters

What will be the statewide voter turnout percentage in Bavaria’s local elections (Kommunalwahlen)?

58.9% (55.4 - 62.2)

100 100 comments

102

102 forecasters

Resolved63.3%

Which party will win the Quebec provincial by-election in Chicoutimi scheduled for February 23, 2026?

114 114 comments

114

114 forecasters

Will three or more competitive Senate or governor races hold no general election debates in the following years?

100

100 forecasters

Will U.S. Congress pass new limits on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in the following years?

1

120

120 forecasters

Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?

1

107

107 forecasters

Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?

5% chance

3

194

194 forecasters

5%chance

Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections?

4

34

34 forecasters

Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

1

3

3 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

1

13

13 forecasters