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Will the United States attack Cuba before 2027?

8.6% chance

8

137

137 forecasters

8.6%chance

Who will win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

1

87

87 forecasters

Will three or more competitive Senate or governor races hold no general election debates in the following years?

105

105 forecasters

Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?

119

119 forecasters

Will U.S. Congress pass new limits on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in the following years?

1

126

126 forecasters

Will the 2026 U.S. midterm elections be considered "free and fair"?

92% chance

3

52

52 forecasters

92%chance

Will Spain hold a general election before May 23, 2027?

50% chance

2

16

16 forecasters

50%chance

Will a U.S. federal or state court prevent certification of any statewide election result in the following years because of fraud?

136

136 forecasters

What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

15

64

64 forecasters

Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?

1

114

114 forecasters

Announcing the US Midterms 2026 Tournament - $10,000 Prize Pool

10

Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

1

3

3 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

1

13

13 forecasters

How many seats will each party win in the Next Australian federal election (2028)

1

4

4 forecasters

Which group will win the most seats in the 2025 Czech parliamentary election?

1

45

45 forecasters

In the following U.S. presidential elections, will any state fail to submit a slate of electoral votes to Congress by the safe harbor deadline?

110

110 forecasters

What share of the popular vote will each party receive in the next South African general election (2029)?

1

3

3 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the May 2025 Romanian election?

69

69 forecasters

How many seats will each party win in the 2025 Czech legislative election?

5

11

11 forecasters

Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?

5% chance

3

202

202 forecasters

5%chance

2024 US election considered fraudulent? → Faithless electors in US 2024 Election?

16

16 forecasters

Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election?

21

161

161 forecasters