• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

16
66 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
0 comments
14 forecasters

Will a U.S. federal or state court prevent certification of any statewide election result in the following years because of fraud?

5 comments
68 forecasters

Which party will win the Virginia gubernatorial election of 2025?

Democrats (Spanberger)96.4%
Republicans (Earl-Sears)3.5%
Other0.1%
1 comment
12 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jara62%
José Antonio Kast27%
Evelyn Matthei5%
0 comments
14 forecasters

Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?

0 comments
50 forecasters

Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?

38 comments
64 forecasters

What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Democraticresult: 48.3242
Republicanresult: 49.79607
Greenresult: 0.555306
0 comments
11 forecasters

In the following U.S. presidential elections, will any state fail to submit a slate of electoral votes to Congress by the safe harbor deadline?

13 comments
11 forecasters

How many seats will each party win in the 2025 Czech legislative election?

ANO 2011result: 80 seats
Civic Democratic Party (ODS)result: 27 seats
Mayors and Independents (STAN)result: 22 seats
2 comments
45 forecasters

Which group will win the most seats in the 2025 Czech parliamentary election?

ANOresult: Yes
Spolu17.8%
Other4.6%