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Announcing the Winners of Forecasting the Upstart Macro Index

3
55 comments

What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years?

13
4747 comments
73
73 forecasters

Announcing: Forecasting the Upstart Macro Index - $10,000 Prize Pool

9
1919 comments

The Market Pulse Challenge 26Q3 is Live!

2
44 comments

What will be the annual revenue for the average 20kWh home battery trading on the Dutch frequency imbalance market in 2028?

1124 โ‚ฌ (954 - 1302)

1
22 comments
4
4 forecasters
1124 โ‚ฌ
(954 - 1302)

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

7
11 comment
25
25 forecasters

What will Kalshi's rank in the iPhone Top Free Finance Apps be on March 31, 2025?

8888 comments
31
31 forecasters

Will Matt Levine join substack before 2023?

result: no

3
66 comments
41
41 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will Adani Enterprises regain a total market cap of $50B before 2028?

18% chance

4
55 comments
14
14 forecasters
18%chance

Short-term increase in Market Volatility?

result: no

3
11 comment
33
33 forecasters
ResolvedNo

A jump in market volatility over the coming month?

result: no

5
44 comments
52
52 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Is market volatility set to strongly increase?

result: no

6
44 comments
33
33 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Animal Welfare Series: plant-based meat

3
11 comment

Community Trader Election

11
2323 comments

Trading Plan for the Trade Signal Tournament

11
2828 comments

Two Theories of Inflation

25
1010 comments

Beyond Benchmark Rates: How Modern Central Banks Tighten Monetary Policy

10
11 comment

Equity Premium Puzzles

14
0 comments

What Is the Future of American Financial Surveillance?

10
11 comment

Forecasting Asset Prices

11
0 comments

EV Battery Supply Chains and EU Regulations: 3 Scenarios

5
0 comments

Predictive Performance on Metaculus vs. Manifold Markets

19
66 comments