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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
82 comments
159 forecasters

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

Syria80%
Haiti74%
Mali61%
10 comments
14 forecasters

When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?

00
23 comments
170 forecasters

Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?

1%chance
3 comments
57 forecasters

Will Georgia control South Ossetia and Abkhazia before 2028?

1%chance

Top Forecasters in the Ukraine Conflict Tournament

4
55 comments
Ukraine Conflict
10 comments
19 forecasters

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

33%chance
29 comments
32 forecasters

What will the Geopolitical Risk index be for 2023?

community
120
result
118.88

Forecast International Elections With Data Journalist Kiko Llaneras

11
33 comments

Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World

10
1010 comments
Metaculus Journal Archives

🌐 Forecast in the Global Pulse Tournament

16
1010 comments
Global Pulse Tournament