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82
comments
159
forecasters
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Syria
80%
Haiti
74%
Mali
61%
70 others
10
comments
14
forecasters
When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?
00
23
comments
170
forecasters
Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?
1%
chance
3
comments
57
forecasters
Will Georgia control South Ossetia and Abkhazia before 2028?
1%
chance
Top Forecasters in the Ukraine Conflict Tournament
4
5
5
comments
Ukraine Conflict
10
comments
19
forecasters
Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
33%
chance
29
comments
32
forecasters
What will the Geopolitical Risk index be for 2023?
community
120
result
118.88
Forecast International Elections With Data Journalist Kiko Llaneras
11
3
3
comments
Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World
10
10
10
comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
🌐 Forecast in the Global Pulse Tournament
16
10
10
comments
Global Pulse Tournament
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