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When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?

8
1616 comments
15
15 forecasters

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

31
8383 comments
166
166 forecasters

Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?

1% chance

9
2323 comments
174
174 forecasters
1%chance

What will the Geopolitical Risk index be for 2023?

120 (108 - 128)

6
2929 comments
32
32 forecasters
120
(108 - 128)

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

29.5% chance

1010 comments
21
21 forecasters
29.5%chance

Will Georgia control South Ossetia and Abkhazia before 2028?

2% chance

7
33 comments
58
58 forecasters
2%chance

Most likely way(s) a nuclear war involving hundreds of detonations could end up occurring by 2050?

1
0 comments

Ukraine Conflict Challenge Discussion

55
169169 comments

Ukraine Conflict Update for Wednesday, 2022-03-09

6
0 comments

Ukraine Conflict Update for Sunday, 2022-03-13

6
11 comment

Ukraine Conflict Update for Monday, 2022-03-14

13
11 comment

[New Questions] Autocrat Public Figure Series

12
33 comments

Ukraine Conflict Update for Friday, 2022-03-18

12
22 comments

Ukraine Conflict Update for Friday, 2022-03-25

9
33 comments

Ukraine Conflict Update for 2022-4-5

12
33 comments

What's the Endgame of the War in Ukraine?

21
1212 comments

War of Attrition: Updated Endgame Forecasts for the Ukraine-Russia Conflict

16
66 comments

Predicting Russia's Failure

3
1414 comments

Announcing the Red Lines in Ukraine Project

8
11 comment

How I Learned to Stop Worrying and (Sort Of) Love Nuclear Forecasting

21
11 comment

900+ Forecasters on Whether Russia Will Invade Ukraine

0 comments

Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World

2
11 comment

The Israel-Hamas War: Forecasting in Unprecedented Times

13
11 comment

Mapping the Israel-Hamas Conflict

10
88 comments