When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?81616 comments1515 forecasters
What will be the total number of fatalities from terrorism in the world in the following years?699 comments7979 forecasters
If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?1499 comments314314 forecasters
Will there be a terrorist attack in an OECD founding member state causing more than 3 deaths between November 3rd 2020 and up until March 1st 2021?result: no59393 comments142142 forecastersResolvedNo
Will a non-state actor have acquired a nuclear weapon from a state by 2030?1% chance60 comments4444 forecasters1%chance
Will a non-state actor develop their own nuclear weapon by 2030?0.5% chance113434 comments120120 forecasters0.5%chance
Will Taliban-controlled Afghanistan be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism before 2027?30% chance31919 comments5353 forecasters30%chance