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Contributed by the Odborný Predikční Tým community.

10 comments
8 forecasters

If there is a violent attack by an individual in the EU with 50 or more victims in the next 5 years, how likely is it that they will be followers of the ideology:

Islámský extremismus46.2%
Pravicový extremismus43%
Levicový a anarchistický extremismus6.4%
9 comments
307 forecasters

If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?

Ukraine15%
Israel13%
India13%
10 comments
14 forecasters

When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?

00
9 comments
75 forecasters

What will be the total number of fatalities from terrorism in the world in the following years?

Mapping the Israel-Hamas Conflict

10
88 comments
Israel-Gaza Conflict

The Israel-Hamas War: Forecasting in Unprecedented Times

13
11 comment
Israel-Gaza Conflict
0 comments
43 forecasters

Will a non-state actor have acquired a nuclear weapon from a state by 2030?

2%chance
34 comments
121 forecasters

Will a non-state actor develop their own nuclear weapon by 2030?

1%chance
93 comments
142 forecasters

Will there be a terrorist attack in an OECD founding member state causing more than 3 deaths between November 3rd 2020 and up until March 1st 2021?

resultNo
19 comments
49 forecasters

Will Taliban-controlled Afghanistan be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism before 2027?

42%chance