When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?81616 comments1515 forecasters
What will be the total number of fatalities from terrorism in the world in the following years?699 comments7979 forecasters
Will a non-state actor have acquired a nuclear weapon from a state by 2030?1.6% chance60 comments4545 forecasters1.6%chance
If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?1499 comments314314 forecasters
Will there be a terrorist attack in an OECD founding member state causing more than 3 deaths between November 3rd 2020 and up until March 1st 2021?result: no59393 comments142142 forecastersResolvedNo
Will a non-state actor develop their own nuclear weapon by 2030?1% chance113434 comments121121 forecasters1%chance
Will Taliban-controlled Afghanistan be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism before 2027?32% chance31919 comments5454 forecasters32%chance