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Contributed by the
Odborný Predikční Tým
community.
10
comments
8
forecasters
If there is a violent attack by an individual in the EU with 50 or more victims in the next 5 years, how likely is it that they will be followers of the ideology:
Islámský extremismus
46.2%
Pravicový extremismus
43%
Levicový a anarchistický extremismus
6.4%
1 other
4%
9
comments
307
forecasters
If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?
Ukraine
15%
Israel
13%
India
13%
5 others
10
comments
14
forecasters
When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?
00
9
comments
75
forecasters
What will be the total number of fatalities from terrorism in the world in the following years?
Mapping the Israel-Hamas Conflict
10
8
8
comments
Israel-Gaza Conflict
The Israel-Hamas War: Forecasting in Unprecedented Times
13
1
1
comment
Israel-Gaza Conflict
0
comments
43
forecasters
Will a non-state actor have acquired a nuclear weapon from a state by 2030?
2%
chance
34
comments
121
forecasters
Will a non-state actor develop their own nuclear weapon by 2030?
1%
chance
93
comments
142
forecasters
Will there be a terrorist attack in an OECD founding member state causing more than 3 deaths between November 3rd 2020 and up until March 1st 2021?
result
No
19
comments
49
forecasters
Will Taliban-controlled Afghanistan be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism before 2027?
42%
chance
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