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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

13
0 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
12 comments
33 forecasters

Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?

10%chance
0 comments
3 forecasters

Which of the following parties will be part of the next Israeli government formed following the next Knesset election?

Bennett 202670%
Yisrael Beiteinu67%
Yesh Atid66%
9 comments
293 forecasters

Before May 20, 2024, will it be announced that Minouche Shafik will no longer be President of Columbia University?

resultNo

What questions do you have about the US presidential administration?

6
2020 comments

Forecast International Elections With Data Journalist Kiko Llaneras

11
33 comments

Scott Alexander's 2022 Predictions

15
0 comments
2022 Scott Alexander predictions

Vox Future Perfect Predictions for 2022

8
55 comments
Future Perfect 2022 Series

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

6
33 comments
Metaculus Journal Archives

Future Perfect 2021 Series

7
11 comment
Future Perfect 2021 Series