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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
13
0
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
12
comments
33
forecasters
Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?
10%
chance
0
comments
3
forecasters
Which of the following parties will be part of the next Israeli government formed following the next Knesset election?
Bennett 2026
70%
Yisrael Beiteinu
67%
Yesh Atid
66%
8 others
9
comments
293
forecasters
Before May 20, 2024, will it be announced that Minouche Shafik will no longer be President of Columbia University?
result
No
What questions do you have about the US presidential administration?
6
20
20
comments
Forecast International Elections With Data Journalist Kiko Llaneras
11
3
3
comments
Scott Alexander's 2022 Predictions
15
0
comments
2022 Scott Alexander predictions
Vox Future Perfect Predictions for 2022
8
5
5
comments
Future Perfect 2022 Series
The Expansion of Executive War Powers
6
3
3
comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
Future Perfect 2021 Series
7
1
1
comment
Future Perfect 2021 Series
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