418 comments
1.2k forecasters
Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Nikki Haleyresult: No
Ron DeSantisresult: No
3.9k comments
3.6k forecasters
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Gretchen Whitmerresult: No
Pete Buttigiegresult: No
82 comments
235 forecasters
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
122 comments
168 forecasters
[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal?
Mike Johnson (R)result: Yes
Kevin Hern (R)Annulled
Steve Scalise (R)result: No
16 comments
38 forecasters
Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?
Texasresult: Yes
Floridaresult: Yes
Missouriresult: Yes
0 comments
6 forecasters
Will the 2025 return of professional investor Bill Ackman beat the return of any of these politicians?
10%chance
9 comments
309 forecasters
Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?
21%chance
4% this week
Key Factors
60 comments
318 forecasters
Will Elon Musk hold major political office in the United States before February 2033?
3%chance
0 comments
46 forecasters