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We're Hiring: Product, Engineering, Communications & Consulting Roles at Metaculus
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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
6
6
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
0
comments
32
forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
OVH
30%
Google Cloud
12%
Amazon Web Services
11%
1 other
2
comments
40
forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?
OVH
25%
Microsoft Azure
5%
Amazon Web Services
5%
1 other
Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season
6
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comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
97
comments
184
forecasters
When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?
Current estimate
Mar 2032
Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
17
6
6
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
20
comments
187
forecasters
What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?
3
comments
33
forecasters
What will the combined sector weighting of Information Technology and Communications be, in the S&P 500 on 2030-01-01?
Latest estimate
47.1
This question is closed for forecasting.
Open Sourcing Metaculus
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