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2
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37
forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
04 Nov 2025
🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap
5
0
comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
564
comments
1.7k
forecasters
When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
Current estimate
27 Sep 2027
58
comments
1.9k
forecasters
Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025?
93%
chance
Forecasting & commenting winners of the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup
8
19
19
comments
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025
Another Year of AI Benchmarking: The Plan
11
0
comments
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2
3
comments
55
forecasters
Where will ManticAI place in the Metaculus Cup Fall 2025 leaderboard?
Current estimate
9
Launched: The RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge | $10K in Prizes + Opportunities for Students
8
11
11
comments
RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge
Announcing the Winners of the Q2 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
6
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AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2
📈Market Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge
4
6
6
comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q2
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