• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
2 comments
37 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
04 Nov 2025

🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap

5
0 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
564 comments
1.7k forecasters

When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

Current estimate
27 Sep 2027
58 comments
1.9k forecasters

Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025?

93%chance

Forecasting & commenting winners of the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup

8
1919 comments
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025

Another Year of AI Benchmarking: The Plan

11
0 comments
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2
3 comments
55 forecasters

Where will ManticAI place in the Metaculus Cup Fall 2025 leaderboard?

Current estimate
9

Launched: The RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge | $10K in Prizes + Opportunities for Students

8
1111 comments
RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge

Announcing the Winners of the Q2 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

6
0 comments
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2

📈Market Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

4
66 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q2