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Contributed by the Foresight Institute community.

By 2035, how many new gigawatts of nuclear power will enter operation in the United States, as verified by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, new state regulators, or other definitive sources?

14.4 GW
0.5 GW this week

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2029?

30%chance

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates?

Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?

7.7%chance

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

59%chance

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

Oct 2051

Will Australia operate a nuclear power plant before 2042?

25%chance

What percent of US energy will be produced by nuclear fission power in 2050?

9.67%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

23%chance

If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?

Ukraine15%
Israel15%
Pakistan11%
and 5 others