When will global electricity generation from nuclear fusion power plants exceed global electricity generation from nuclear fission power plants?111 comment22 forecasters
How many terawatt-hours of electricity will be generated from nuclear power worldwide in the year 2030?3035 TWh (2486 - 3718)666 comments1717 forecasters3035 TWh (2486 - 3718)
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2029?66% chance266 comments3838 forecasters66%chance
Will Australia operate a nuclear power plant before 2042?22% chance111010 comments3131 forecasters22%chance
Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2027?0.1% chance10 comments137137 forecasters0.1%chance
What percent of US energy will be produced by nuclear fission power in 2050?10.1% (6.16 - 15.6)161111 comments4747 forecasters10.1% (6.16 - 15.6)
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?30% chance586969 comments529529 forecasters30%chance
Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?10% chance171616 comments116116 forecasters10%chance
What percentage of global primary energy consumption will be produced by Nuclear Power in 2040?5.6% (3.3 - 8.83)911 comment2525 forecasters5.6% (3.3 - 8.83)
What share of Africa's total primary energy will come from nuclear (fission & fusion) in 2050?3.31% (1.4 - 8.66)977 comments1616 forecasters3.31% (1.4 - 8.66)
By 2035, how many new gigawatts of nuclear power will enter operation in the United States, as verified by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, new state regulators, or other definitive sources?17 GW (15.4 - 17.9)122 comments1111 forecasters17 GW (15.4 - 17.9)
Will we reach 2035 without the detonation of a non-test nuclear weapon?75% chance303535 comments192192 forecasters75%chance
Will NASA build a completed nuclear reactor on the moon before 2030?0.3% chance66 comments3939 forecasters0.3%chance
Will Puerto Rico's industrial sector be powered primarily by New Nuclear before 2040?20% chance10 comments1111 forecasters20%chance
Will Puerto Rico's industrial sector be powered primarily by New Nuclear before 2040? [QL]0 comments%chance
Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?20% chance355 comments3333 forecasters20%chance
In 2023 will a nuclear weapon be detonated (including tests and accidents)?result: no143333 comments227227 forecastersResolvedNo
In 2023 will a nuclear weapon be used in war (ie not a test or accident) and kill at least 10 people?result: no322 comments108108 forecastersResolvedNo
How many countries will increase the number of nuclear weapons they possess by at least 10% by 2024?1.92 (1.16 - 2.4)152727 comments107107 forecastersResolved2
If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?1499 comments314314 forecasters
When will nuclear power be used for propulsion in space in a non-test capacity?May 2033 (19 Dec 2029 - >Jan 2036)121111 comments7575 forecastersMay 2033 (19 Dec 2029 - >Jan 2036)