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3 comments
26 forecasters

Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?

8.7%chance
46 comments
149 forecasters

How many nuclear weapons will be detonated offensively by 2050?

Current estimate
1.1 weapons
6 comments
19 forecasters

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2029?

30%chance
10 comments
32 forecasters

Will Australia operate a nuclear power plant before 2042?

22%chance
9 comments
307 forecasters

If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?

Ukraine15%
Israel13%
India13%

Contributed by the Foresight Institute community.

2 comments
8 forecasters

By 2035, how many new gigawatts of nuclear power will enter operation in the United States, as verified by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, new state regulators, or other definitive sources?

Current estimate
14.4 GW
10 comments
64 forecasters

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates?

11 comments
72 forecasters

When will nuclear power be used for propulsion in space in a non-test capacity?

Current estimate
Mar 2034
0 comments
11 forecasters

What proportion of offensive nuclear detonations by 2030 will be of nonstrategic nuclear weapons, if there's at least one offensive detonation by then?

Current estimate
0.889%
11 comments
47 forecasters

What percent of US energy will be produced by nuclear fission power in 2050?

Current estimate
9.67%