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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
17 comments
145 forecasters

Will the US conduct a nuclear test explosion before 2030?

8%chance
16 comments
110 forecasters

Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?

15%chance
5% this week
3 comments
25 forecasters

Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?

8.3%chance
7 comments
55 forecasters

Will there be at least one fatality in the US from a non-test nuclear detonation by 2050 if a non-test detonation causes a fatality anywhere?

28%chance
6 comments
24 forecasters

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2029?

56%chance
13 comments
61 forecasters

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

55%chance
68 comments
501 forecasters

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

25%chance
47 comments
150 forecasters

How many nuclear weapons will be detonated offensively by 2050?

Current estimate
1.02 weapons
4 comments
64 forecasters

How many nuclear weapons will be detonated offensively by 2050, if at least one offensive detonation occurs?

Current estimate
15.4 weapons
11 comments
47 forecasters

What percent of US energy will be produced by nuclear fission power in 2050?

Current estimate
9.69%