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Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

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What percentage of Americans will be obese or overweight in 2030?

67.9% (59.2 - 75.2)

35
103103 comments
275
275 forecasters
67.9%
(59.2 - 75.2)

When will the first openly furry person be elected to a major US office?

Jul 2033 (13 Mar 2030 - Oct 2037)

2
2020 comments
36
36 forecasters
Jul 2033
(13 Mar 2030 - Oct 2037)

Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?

result: no

13
44 comments
81
81 forecasters
ResolvedNo

What percentage of U.S. adults will self-report to follow a vegan diet in 2028?

4.15% (3.07 - 4.84)

15
1212 comments
82
82 forecasters
4.15%
(3.07 - 4.84)

Will there be a vegetarian U.S. president by the end of 2036?

6% chance

22
4141 comments
136
136 forecasters
6%chance

Will โ‰ฅ8% of U.S. adults self-report to follow a vegetarian diet before 2036?

75% chance

17
3636 comments
124
124 forecasters
75%chance

What percentage of U.S. adults will self-report to follow a vegetarian diet in 2028?

6.5% (4.22 - 8.28)

21
2424 comments
85
85 forecasters
6.5%
(4.22 - 8.28)

What percentage of US residents will be aged 100 years or older on January 1 2050?

0.263% (0.0969 - 0.659)

10
22 comments
51
51 forecasters
0.263%
(0.0969 - 0.659)

Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?

result: yes

33
3636 comments
462
462 forecasters
ResolvedYes

Animal Welfare Series

11
22 comments

Announcing the Bentham Prize winners

7
1313 comments

Religious dietary restrictions and alt-meat

3
0 comments