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When will Anthropic be publicly traded?

1

21

21 forecasters

When will Anthropic IPO?

23 Nov 2026 (17 Nov 2026 10:17 - 05 Dec 2026)

5

41

41 forecasters

23 Nov 2026

(17 Nov 2026 10:17 - 05 Dec 2026)

What will be the highest score achieved by any model on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index on December 31, 2026?

67 Index Score (65 - 69)

90

90 forecasters

67 Index Score

(65 - 69)

What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years?

13

76

76 forecasters

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

30 Jun 2030 (06 Feb 2028 - Jun 2036)

221

678 678 comments

1.9k

1.9k forecasters

30 Jun 2030

(06 Feb 2028 - Jun 2036)

What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2026 be for the following companies?

48

48 forecasters

Will Safe Superintelligence (SSI) release an AI model to the public in 2026?

5% chance

113

113 forecasters

5%chance

What will the first reported revenues after September 2026 be for the following companies?

1

53

53 forecasters

Will employment in US knowledge-intensive sectors (NAICS 52 and 54) decline by more than 1% in any single month before 2030?

49% chance

1

10

10 forecasters

49%chance

What will be the closing price of Xtend AI Robotics (XTND) on October 15, 2026?

3.02 $ (2.5 - 3.65)

250 250 comments

249

249 forecasters

Resolved2.12 $

What will be the closing price of the iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) on October 15, 2026?

33.3 $ (32 - 34.6)

224 224 comments

223

223 forecasters

Resolved34.26 $

Will a Chinese frontier model cross the U.S. AI frontier by at least 2 ECI points before 2029?

20% chance

17

17 forecasters

20%chance

Will Generative AI become part of most Americans' daily lives before 2030?

98% chance

1

51

51 forecasters

98%chance

Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?

1.5% chance

812

812 forecasters

1.5%chance

What will be the all-time highest close price of NVDA before January 1, 2027?

239 $ (239 - 240)

1

111

111 forecasters

239 $

(239 - 240)

Will any US federal or state government entity sue OpenAI over the July 2026 Hugging Face incident before July 2027?

24% chance

35

35 forecasters

24%chance

AI IPO Windfall: Forecasting Funding by Cause Area

3

What will be OpenAI's revenue during 2026?

41.3B $ (35.6B - 50.1B)

2

17

17 forecasters

41.3B $

(35.6B - 50.1B)

When will concern about artificial intelligence go mainstream in the United States?

28 Aug 2027 (13 Jan 2027 - 15 Oct 2028)

13

85

85 forecasters

28 Aug 2027

(13 Jan 2027 - 15 Oct 2028)

Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI?

97% chance

39

257

257 forecasters

97%chance

Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

9% chance

1

841

841 forecasters

9%chance

Will the Armada Acquisition Corp. II / Evernorth business combination close on October 1 or 2, 2026?

result: no

182 182 comments

183

183 forecasters

ResolvedNo