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gracemclain

Predictions95

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Member SinceDecember 2025

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Questions by gracemclain

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

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Mapping the AI IPO windfall

Global Health Monitor Update September 2026

Global Health Monitor update August 2026

Labor Automation Forecasting Hub: July 2026 Updates

Respiratory Outlook July Update: Screwworm continues US spread as Ebola outbreak surges in DRC

Respiratory Outlook June Update: New World Screwworm Enters the US

Respiratory Outlook May Update: Low Chance for Hantavirus Spread as Measles Forecast Drops Again

Fall 2025 FutureEval Bot-Maker Survey: What Winners Did Differently

Respiratory Outlook April Update: Measles Surge Slows as Flu Season Ends with Likely Moderate Severity

Respiratory Outlook March Update: Measles Expected to Surge This Year as Respiratory Season Winds Down

1 forecaster

When will a Blue Ocean Event (arctic sea ice extent ≤1 million km²) first occur?

Current estimate

Aug 2040