| 62.033 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023? | Binary |
| 61.682 | What rank will "Improving Sino-Western Coordination on Global Catastrophic Risk" be on 80,000 Hours's "highest-impact career paths" list on January 1, 2024? | Continuous |
| 60.619 | How many surveillance cameras per 1000 people will the most surveilled city in China have in 2023? | Continuous |
| 59.124 | How many of the companies in China's 'AI Quartet' (not counting SenseTime) will be public before 2024? | Continuous |
| 58.945 | Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 55.352 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2022, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| 52.751 | How many recently active Russian flag officers will emigrate from the Russia-aligned sphere before 2024? | Continuous |
| 49.719 | Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 45.319 | Will Georgia impose sanctions against Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 43.073 | What proportion of NATO member states, excluding the USA, will increase their real 2023 defense spending by at least 25 % compared to 2022? | Continuous |
| 33.904 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) | Binary |
| 32.564 | What will be the average annual level of PM2.5 in Beijing, China in 2023? | Continuous |
| 32.034 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 31.477 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 31.371 | In 2023 will WHO declare a new Global Health Emergency? | Binary |
| 31.363 | Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Haiti) | Binary |
| 31.259 | In 2023 will AI win a programming competition? | Binary |
| 29.886 | How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022? | Continuous |
| 29.867 | Will Donald Trump post a new tweet before March 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 28.677 | Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2024? | Binary |
| 26.760 | Will China reverse its decision to ban financial institutions from trading and engaging in cryptocurrency transactions before 2024? | Binary |
| 26.491 | What percentage of US GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| 26.181 | What will be the annual number of objects launched into space in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 26.117 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 25.543 | Will Ukraine have a security guarantee from another country before 2024? | Binary |
| 24.227 | Will Ukraine use American rocket systems against targets on Russian soil before July 2023? | Binary |
| 23.795 | Will Shanghai continue to subsidize up to 30% of investment in semiconductor materials and equipment projects within the city until 2024? | Binary |
| 23.187 | Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 22.551 | What percentage of Russian GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| 22.438 | Horizon Scan: How many people will be forcibly displaced in these countries in 2022? (Azerbaijan) | Continuous |
| 21.087 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Donald Trump is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 20.820 | Will a member of the Chinese Politburo be expelled or arrested in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
| 20.107 | Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
| 19.389 | What share of global payments in 2023 will be in Chinese renminbi? | Continuous |
| 19.155 | Will Israel impose sanctions on Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 19.087 | Will Finland join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 18.918 | Will cost of living riots happen in the UK before March 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 18.907 | Will Russia be the world's most sanctioned country on February 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 18.537 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 18.419 | Will China reverse its ban on bitcoin mining and trading before 2024? | Binary |
| 18.370 | Horizon Scan: How many people will be forcibly displaced in these countries in 2022? (Armenia) | Continuous |
| 18.041 | Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2024? | Binary |
| 17.625 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Ghana) | Binary |
| 16.186 | How many entities will be allowed to use blockchain applications in China by 2024? | Continuous |
| 16.083 | What will China's Corruption Perception Index level be in 2023? | Continuous |
| 15.759 | Horizon Scan: How many people will be forcibly displaced in these countries in 2022? (Sudan) | Continuous |
| 15.524 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 14.717 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Sevastopol? | Binary |
| 14.572 | Will Russia capture or surround a large Ukrainian city before June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 14.251 | Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024? | Binary |
| 13.866 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 13.611 | Horizon Scan: How many people will be forcibly displaced in these countries in 2022? (Haiti) | Continuous |
| 13.481 | How many Ukrainian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
| 12.857 | Will the US ban TikTok before 2024? | Binary |
| 12.754 | Will personal ID authentication be obligatory for new Twitter accounts on July 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 10.882 | Will the Kakhovka dam be breached before May 2023? | Binary |
| 10.633 | When will Ukraine regain control of the city of Kherson? | Continuous |
| 10.076 | In 2023 will someone release "DALL-E, but for videos"? | Binary |
| 9.936 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be available for free public use on Jan 31, 2023? | Binary |
| 9.644 | Will pediatric cases of hepatitis with unknown origin be conclusively linked to COVID vaccination? | Binary |
| 9.592 | Will there be more than 4 deaths between Russia and NATO forces outside of Ukraine before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 9.164 | Horizon Scan: How many people will be forcibly displaced in these countries in 2022? (Lebanon) | Continuous |
| 8.879 | In 2023 will Donald Trump make at least one tweet? | Binary |
| 8.673 | Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 8.346 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join the EU before 2024? | Binary |
| 7.392 | By December 31, 2023, will the courts block any part of the Biden Administration's plan to broadly cancel student debt? | Binary |
| 7.306 | Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2024? | Binary |
| 6.987 | Will Israel arm Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 6.592 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 6.471 | Will China adopt any legislation or regulations to prevent contamination of the environment with antimicrobials by 2024? | Binary |
| 6.417 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2024? | Binary |
| 5.984 | Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council by 2024? | Binary |
| 5.971 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Sriram Krishnan) | Binary |
| 5.893 | In 2023 will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan? | Binary |
| 5.622 | Will a radiological "dirty bomb" be detonated in Ukraine or Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 5.614 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
| 5.407 | Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024? | Binary |
| 5.093 | Will China get involved in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict by 2024? | Binary |
| 4.977 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Peter Thiel) | Binary |
| 4.905 | Will Tweets be inaccessible on Twitter.com for any seven days starting before 2024? | Binary |
| 4.745 | On January 1, 2024, will there be a lasting cease-fire in the Russia-Ukraine war? | Binary |
| 4.043 | How many nuclear weapons will there be in world stockpiles in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 3.548 | Will Medvedchuk become president of Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 3.515 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Mike Schroepfer) | Binary |
| 3.269 | Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries? | Binary |
| 3.018 | Horizon Scan: How many people will be forcibly displaced in these countries in 2022? (Uganda) | Continuous |
| 2.543 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Jared Kushner) | Binary |
| 2.485 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (John Legere) | Binary |
| 2.417 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Sheryl Sandberg) | Binary |
| 2.304 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Jason Calacanis) | Binary |
| 2.136 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Steve Davis) | Binary |
| 1.732 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Blake Masters) | Binary |
| 1.649 | What will inflation in the UK be, given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership candidate contest? (2022) | Continuous |
| 1.633 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2023) | Binary |
| 1.434 | In 2023 will any new country join NATO? | Binary |
| 1.067 | Will Sam Bankman-Fried return to US soil before February 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 0.980 | Horizon Scan: How many people will be forcibly displaced in these countries in 2022? (Sri Lanka) | Continuous |
| 0.915 | If Russia invades Ukraine, will +1,000 Russian soldiers be killed by Ukrainian forces in 2022 and 2023? | Binary |
| 0.128 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Boris Johnson) | Binary |
| 0.120 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Penny Mourdant) | Binary |
| 0.092 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Jeremy Hunt) | Binary |
| 0.071 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Rishi Sunak) | Binary |
| 0.039 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Ben Wallace) | Binary |
| 0.018 | In 2023 will OpenAI release GPT-4? | Binary |
| 0.016 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Grant Shapps) | Binary |
| 0.015 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Suella Braverman) | Binary |
| 0.012 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Theresa May) | Binary |
| -0.015 | When will GPT-4 be announced? | Continuous |
| -2.327 | In 2023 will a nuclear weapon be detonated (including tests and accidents)? | Binary |
| -7.899 | What will be the market cap of Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent in 2023? | Continuous |
| -8.484 | What price will Coinbase quote for FTX's FTT token on February 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| -9.849 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Elon Musk) | Binary |
| -15.529 | Will the UN open an investigation or otherwise intervene on the issue of the Xinjiang internment camps before 2024? | Binary |
| -21.645 | Will China have approved cultivated meat for human consumption by 2024? | Binary |
| -22.022 | How much foreign aid will the US provide Ukraine in 2022? | Continuous |
| -25.400 | Will Johnny Depp receive a film contract from a major film studio by January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -27.238 | Will Bitcoin end 2023 above $30,000? | Binary |
| -40.578 | How many quantum computing patents will China have filed before 2024? | Continuous |
| -54.277 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| -61.969 | How many parameters will the latest version of the Chinese Wu Dao AI model have before 2024? | Continuous |
| -69.386 | In 2023 will a cultured meat product be available in at least one US store or restaurant for less than $30? | Binary |
| -71.441 | By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine? | Binary |
| -357.827 | Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2023? | Binary |