| 202.472 | How many Annex 2 states will ratify the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty by 2024? | Continuous |
| 184.171 | What will be the limit prices of these major crops from December 2021 to April 2023? (US Gulf No.2 yellow maize - Min) | Continuous |
| 179.451 | What will be the limit prices of these major crops from December 2021 to April 2023? (Thai AI super rice - Min) | Continuous |
| 163.242 | What will be the limit prices of these major crops from December 2021 to April 2023? (US Gulf No.2 hard red winter wheat - Min) | Continuous |
| 162.631 | How many nuclear weapons will states possess on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 151.486 | What percentage of the US 2024 presidential popular vote will the Democratic and Republican parties (combined) receive? | Continuous |
| 143.602 | How many nonstrategic nuclear weapons will be deployed at the end of 2023? | Continuous |
| 131.332 | How many UN member states will formally recognize Taiwan at the end of 2025? | Continuous |
| 128.113 | How many deployed nuclear weapons will there be on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 124.589 | How many members will NATO have on December 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| 122.876 | When will Skyroot Aerospace successfully launch their first satellite into space? | Continuous |
| 109.231 | What percentage of black voters will vote for a Republican president in the 2024 US presidential election? | Continuous |
| 105.342 | How many estimated excess deaths due to starvation will occur in Ethiopia as a result of the Tigray war? | Continuous |
| 97.738 | What will be the limit prices of these major crops from December 2021 to April 2023? (US Gulf No.2 yellow maize - Max) | Continuous |
| 97.399 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 96.675 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 96.599 | On what date will the U.S. CDC announce that they are tracking a SARS-CoV-2 variant that they classify as a variant of high consequence (VOHC)? | Continuous |
| 94.665 | When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally? | Continuous |
| 94.365 | Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 93.855 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 93.835 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 93.393 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 93.099 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 92.747 | When will the Sputnik V vaccine be approved by WHO? | Continuous |
| 92.442 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 92.404 | In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 92.332 | How much oil will Russia produce (in barrels per day) in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 92.276 | Will Norway leave EEA before 2025? | Binary |
| 92.247 | In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results? | Binary |
| 92.213 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
| 92.014 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 91.819 | Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 90.833 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 90.750 | Will there be at least one HEMP attack by 2024? | Binary |
| 90.642 | Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025? | Binary |
| 88.930 | If the federal minimum wage is $10 or less at the end of 2024, what will the average employment-to-population ratio be in 2025? | Continuous |
| 88.261 | What will be the maximum CPI inflation measured in 2022? | Continuous |
| 87.135 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 86.735 | What will the release date of the first song to be streamed 4 billion times on Spotify be? | Continuous |
| 86.548 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 85.622 | Will there be at least one human fatality in space due to space debris by 2025? | Binary |
| 85.526 | Will the price of Beyond or Impossible plant-based ground beef go lower than conventional ground beef before April 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 84.616 | By 2024, will China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 84.606 | In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state? | Binary |
| 84.584 | By 2024, will Russia clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 84.205 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 84.131 | Will there be >3,000 nonstrategic nuclear weapons at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 84.069 | Will the US officially state the intention to re-ratify the INF Treaty by 2024? | Binary |
| 83.913 | Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks? | Binary |
| 83.844 | Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | Binary |
| 83.370 | Will The Kidney Project's implantable bioartificial kidney receive FDA approval before 2025? | Binary |
| 82.554 | Will Turkey's annual inflation fall to 4% or less before 2025? | Binary |
| 81.984 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 81.082 | What will be the limit prices of these major crops from December 2021 to April 2023? (US Gulf No.2 hard red winter wheat - Max) | Continuous |
| 80.344 | What will be the limit prices of these major crops from December 2021 to April 2023? (Thai AI super rice - Max) | Continuous |
| 80.072 | What will be the maximum arctic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 79.043 | When will a song have been streamed 4 billion times on Spotify? | Continuous |
| 79.006 | What will be the average inflation in Turkey from 2022 to 2024 (inclusive)? | Continuous |
| 77.613 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 77.464 | In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election? | Binary |
| 76.928 | Will the US propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 76.530 | Will there be a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2024? | Binary |
| 76.454 | Will the US CDC sponsor or support a nationwide metagenomic sequencing program before 2025? | Binary |
| 76.303 | Will there be a US-Iran war by 2024? | Binary |
| 75.718 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 74.580 | Will US core CPI inflation rise by more than 3% from December 2021 to December 2022? | Binary |
| 73.616 | In 2025, what percent of Australia's Liberal parliamentarians will be women? | Continuous |
| 73.279 | What will the US real annual growth rate be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 72.538 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 71.783 | How many countries will increase the number of nuclear weapons they possess by at least 10% by 2024? | Continuous |
| 71.047 | Will PsiQuantum have a commercial quantum computer by 2025? | Binary |
| 70.732 | How many ketamine infusion clinics will there be on January 1, 2025 in the USA? | Continuous |
| 70.561 | Will any member of the Trump family join Substack by Nov 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 70.358 | Will the EU phase out high-concentration CO2 stunning or killing of pigs before 2025? | Binary |
| 70.285 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 68.364 | Will the U.S. phase out per-country caps on employment-based visas before 2025? | Binary |
| 67.787 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 67.584 | Will Freedom House report that internet freedom has declined every year until 2025? | Binary |
| 67.562 | Will USA top the Olympic Medal Table at Paris 2024? | Binary |
| 67.516 | Will Meta Platforms (Facebook) sell Instagram or WhatsApp before 2025? | Binary |
| 67.481 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 67.167 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (India, Israel or Pakistan) | Binary |
| 66.547 | Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 66.514 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 66.482 | Will more than 2,500 nuclear weapons be ready for use at short notice at the end of 2023, according to the most recent FAS estimates? | Binary |
| 66.450 | How many countries will be in OPEC on December 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| 66.421 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 66.242 | Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 66.179 | How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States? | Continuous |
| 65.160 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 64.812 | What will be the maximum arctic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 64.255 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 64.119 | Will any senior executives of these major public companies be imprisoned for corporate crimes before 2026? | Binary |
| 64.081 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 63.802 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 63.480 | Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025? | Binary |
| 62.958 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 62.953 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 62.887 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 62.611 | Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 62.441 | What will the fed funds rate be on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 61.751 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
| 61.295 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 60.910 | Will a cultivated meat company be profitable by April 2023? | Binary |
| 60.381 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 59.974 | What will be the total global production of biofuels (measured in thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day) in 2022? | Continuous |
| 59.606 | How many staff will the Arms Control Association, Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, and Ploughshares Fund have at the end of 2023? | Continuous |
| 59.526 | In December 2025, what will UK total national debt (excluding public sector banks) be as a percentage of GDP? | Continuous |
| 59.412 | When will Julian Assange be extradited to the US? | Continuous |
| 59.298 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 58.574 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 58.391 | By 2024, will a nuclear-armed state other than the US, Russia, or China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 58.391 | By 2024, will Russia announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 57.841 | How many papers at the 2023 NeurIPS conference will have authors with Amazon affiliation? | Continuous |
| 57.739 | Will lepton universality be falsified before 2026? | Binary |
| 56.874 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
| 56.800 | Will meme-based cryptocurrency, Dogecoin (DOGE), be valued at $1 per coin or higher on January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 56.760 | What will be the total box office gross in the US & Canada in 2022? | Continuous |
| 56.451 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 56.441 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 56.427 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
| 56.054 | Before 2024, will the ACLU argue that hate speech should not be protected by the First Amendment? | Binary |
| 56.039 | Will any of the winners of BARDA's mask innovation challenge be sold on Amazon and cost less than $1 per unit before 2025? | Binary |
| 55.437 | Will Reddit power user "maxwellhill" be confirmed to be Ghislaine Maxwell before 2026? | Binary |
| 55.408 | What will be the price of a Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme in Westfield, Indiana in 2025? | Continuous |
| 54.663 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 53.640 | How many e-prints on AI Safety, interpretability or explainability will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period? | Continuous |
| 52.859 | What will be the largest cultivated meat production capacity, in metric tons per year, of a single facility by January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| 52.734 | What will be the average monthly rate of US workforce resignations in 2022? | Continuous |
| 51.368 | What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024? | Continuous |
| 50.199 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 49.627 | What will be Ukraine's score in The Democracy Index in 2024? | Continuous |
| 49.376 | By 2024, will the US announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 49.006 | What will be the minimum arctic sea ice extent in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 48.764 | Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam? | Binary |
| 48.161 | Before 2024, will North Korea possess enough fissile material to make at least 100 warheads? | Binary |
| 48.140 | Will China's GDP grow in Q2 to Q4 2022? | Binary |
| 47.981 | How many deaths due to monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide? | Continuous |
| 47.723 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? | Binary |
| 47.617 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 47.617 | How many Japanese Air Force responses to Chinese military threats there will be by 2024? | Continuous |
| 47.165 | What percentage of Hispanic or Latino voters will vote Republican in 2024? | Continuous |
| 47.108 | When will Tigrayan forces seize the National Palace in Addis Ababa? | Continuous |
| 45.952 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 45.630 | What will be the average inflation in the US from January 2022 to December 2024? | Continuous |
| 44.967 | What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based eggs be in the U.S. in 2022? | Continuous |
| 44.754 | When will a Nobel Prize be awarded for COVID19-related accomplishments? | Continuous |
| 43.597 | By what percentage will the total US yearly retail sales of plant-based meat in 2022 grow compared to 2020? | Continuous |
| 43.425 | How many charter cities will exist by 2026? | Continuous |
| 43.155 | What will the Womens winning 100m time in the 2024 Olympic Final be? | Continuous |
| 43.018 | What will US inflation be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 41.977 | Will Egypt attempt to damage the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2024? | Binary |
| 41.862 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 41.474 | When will the UK hold its next general election? | Continuous |
| 40.995 | Will Brazil continue to be the largest producer of soybeans in the world in 2022? | Binary |
| 40.307 | Will the SEC approve any bitcoin ETF before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 40.261 | How many structures will be newly deposited to the Protein Data Bank archive in 2025? | Continuous |
| 39.592 | Will spending on US office construction be less than $77 Billion USD in 2022? | Binary |
| 39.067 | How many subscribers will the Youtube channel Rational Animations have on November 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| 38.306 | What will the total worldwide box office gross be for Avatar 2? | Continuous |
| 37.991 | How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Animal Welfare in 2025? | Continuous |
| 37.874 | How many cultivated meat ventures there will be in 2022 according to the GFI State of Industry report for that year? | Continuous |
| 37.854 | How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Biosecurity and Pandemic Preparedness in 2025? | Continuous |
| 37.831 | Will any nation have less than 10% of their population vaccinated with at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 37.425 | What will be Trump's first retrospective job approval rating? | Continuous |
| 36.261 | Will Cryptocurrency Miners be considered “brokers” by the IRS by 2025? | Binary |
| 35.960 | What will the disclosed global venture capital investment in cultivated meat companies be in 2022 (in millions of USD)? | Continuous |
| 35.506 | How many papers at the 2023 NeurIPS conference will have authors with Apple Inc. affiliation? | Continuous |
| 35.431 | What will be the minimum arctic sea ice extent in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 35.101 | Will the EU have a mandatory multi-tiered animal welfare labelling scheme in place by 2025? | Binary |
| 33.647 | What will the Men's winning 100m time in the 2024 Olympic Final be? | Continuous |
| 33.168 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| 32.874 | Will at least one fire produce smoke plumes that reach into the stratosphere, before 2023? | Binary |
| 32.011 | Will the EU propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by 2025? | Binary |
| 30.724 | How many Executive Orders per week will President Biden issue? | Continuous |
| 29.803 | When will the number of US oil rigs exceed 1000? | Continuous |
| 29.426 | Will the Forethought Foundation have more than two full-time equivalent employees in 2025? | Binary |
| 28.775 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 27.528 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 27.272 | When will the Mars helicopter Ingenuity stop making successful flights for 6 months? | Continuous |
| 26.490 | How much money will Open Philanthropy grant in 2025? | Continuous |
| 26.285 | How correlated will progress be across subfields of AI as determined by Metaculus between 2021 to 2025? | Continuous |
| 26.140 | Will copyright of at least one of the depictions of Mickey Mouse be extended beyond the current deadline of January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 26.119 | Will global trade as a percentage of GWP exceed 61% by 2026? | Binary |
| 26.056 | By 2024, will a party to the NPT withdraw from the treaty? | Binary |
| 26.056 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (South Sudan) | Binary |
| 25.761 | Will Amazon accept Bitcoin before 2024? | Binary |
| 24.092 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 24.084 | What will Hungary's total fertility rate be in 2023? | Continuous |
| 23.534 | How many customers will make up the biggest paying customer base of any AI assistant software in 2025? | Continuous |
| 23.154 | Will 2022 be warmer than 2021? | Binary |
| 22.612 | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
| 20.988 | What will the estimated number of people (in millions) in severe food insecurity be in 2022, according to the 2023 FAO “State of food security and nutrition in the world” annual report? | Continuous |
| 20.945 | How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Scientific Research in 2025? | Continuous |
| 20.536 | What will be the maximum compute (in petaFLOPS-days) ever used in training an AI experiment by the following dates? (Jan-2026) | Continuous |
| 20.193 | What will Bitcoin's percentage of total crypto market capitalization be in 2025? | Continuous |
| 18.352 | What will Google Trends search interest for Donald Trump be in July 2024 as a percentage of in November 2016? | Continuous |
| 18.101 | What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, at 2024-12-14 in accuracy? | Continuous |
| 17.813 | How many patients will the Shandong Yinfeng Life Science Research Institute report by 2026? | Continuous |
| 17.704 | Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026? | Binary |
| 16.844 | Will at least two states each increase the size of their nuclear weapons arsenals by at least 25% by 2024? | Binary |
| 16.209 | What will be the best non-human SAT-style score on the hard subset of the QuALITY dataset by January 1, 2025? | Continuous |
| 16.074 | Will the floating storage vessel Safer leak at least 10,000 tonnes of oil before 2025? | Binary |
| 15.817 | Will the year-over-year increase in U.S. Core CPI be above 4.0% for any 6 consecutive months before 2024? | Binary |
| 15.552 | How many missile test events will North Korea conduct in 2022 and 2023? | Continuous |
| 15.492 | What will be the lowest US unemployment rate in 2022? | Continuous |
| 15.342 | When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party? | Continuous |
| 14.715 | Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025? | Binary |
| 14.607 | Will mean log-odds outperform mean probability for the next 1000 questions? | Binary |
| 14.110 | What will the total amount of worldwide venture capital funding in quantum computing be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 13.717 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 13.240 | Will Trevor Milton be convicted on federal fraud charges related to Nikola before 2024? | Binary |
| 13.041 | When will FromSoftware release Elden Ring? | Continuous |
| 12.375 | Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 11.089 | Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025? | Binary |
| 10.923 | How many refugees will be admitted to the US from 2021 to 2024? | Continuous |
| 10.736 | Will mean log-odds outperform mean probability for the next 300 questions? | Binary |
| 10.736 | Will mean log-odds outperform mean probability for the next 100 questions? | Binary |
| 10.337 | What retail market share will plant-based milk make up of the total milk category in the US in 2022? | Continuous |
| 10.272 | Will North Korea launch another intercontinental ballistic missile before 2024? | Binary |
| 9.333 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 9.100 | Will mean log-odds outperform median log-odds for the next 1000 questions? | Binary |
| 8.649 | Will India sign the Artemis Accords before 2025? | Binary |
| 8.451 | What will be the UK's annual inflation rate in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 7.955 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 6.366 | How many flights will the Mars Helicopter, Ingenuity, make in its lifetime? | Continuous |
| 6.069 | Will tirzepatide be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA before 2025? | Binary |
| 5.644 | When will Neuralink first implant a brain-machine interface device in a living human? | Continuous |
| 5.570 | Will the 12-Month U.S. Core Consumer Price Index rise above 3.0% by 2024? | Binary |
| 5.462 | How many Metaculus users will attend the unofficial Metaculus Meetup at the Taco Bell in Westfield, Indiana on the 1st of January 2025? | Continuous |
| 4.202 | How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period? | Continuous |
| 3.841 | Will mean log-odds outperform median log-odds for the next 300 questions? | Binary |
| 3.358 | Will the Somerton Man's DNA match that of "Jestyn's" family? | Binary |
| 2.860 | How many dollars will it cost per month to store 1 TB on Google Cloud Archive in 2025? | Continuous |
| 2.811 | Will Bitcoin outperform VTI from 2021-Mar-01 until 2026? | Binary |
| 2.333 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Alliance) | Continuous |
| 1.917 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (SDLP) | Continuous |
| 1.822 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Reform) | Continuous |
| 1.782 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Plaid Cymru) | Continuous |
| 1.757 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Greens) | Continuous |
| 1.620 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (DUP) | Continuous |
| 1.565 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Sinn Féin) | Continuous |
| 0.988 | Will mean log-odds outperform median log-odds for the next 100 questions? | Binary |
| 0.867 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 0.649 | Will John McAfee receive a prison term of at least 3 years? | Binary |
| 0.593 | Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.535 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 0.507 | Will India have at least 200 nuclear warheads at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 0.213 | Will Google block third-party cookies on Chrome before 2024? | Binary |
| 0.162 | Will the Taliban capture the Presidential Palace in Kabul by 2026-09-11? | Binary |
| 0.039 | Will the gray wolf be relisted as Threatened or Endangered by the US before 2030? | Binary |
| 0.000 | Will France place in the Top 5 at the 2024 Paris Olympics? | Binary |
| -1.872 | How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in plant-based food companies in 2022? | Continuous |
| -1.941 | How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025? | Continuous |
| -2.247 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrat) | Continuous |
| -6.062 | When will used/pre-owned RTX30 series Nvidia GPUs suitable for deep learning sell below retail price? | Continuous |
| -6.993 | What will be the best accuracy score on the MATH dataset by 2025? | Continuous |
| -7.317 | What will be the maximum Antarctic sea ice extent in these years? (2025) | Continuous |
| -7.410 | Will there be any further delay to the Libor cessation in 2023? | Binary |
| -8.063 | Will someone agree to participate in a Rootclaim challenge before 2025? | Binary |
| -9.172 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| -11.494 | In 2025, will code generating AI have been pre-trained on a natural language corpus? | Binary |
| -11.633 | When will Moscow (stock) Exchange reopen its stock and derivative markets to both Russians and foreigners? | Continuous |
| -11.711 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| -13.065 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| -14.298 | Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025? | Binary |
| -14.453 | When will the UK Labour Party next maintain a 10-point polling lead for a month? | Continuous |
| -14.673 | When will San Francisco County lift their mask mandate? | Continuous |
| -15.066 | BTC outperforms VSS from 2021-03-01 until 2026? | Binary |
| -15.193 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
| -20.670 | How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards AI risk reduction in 2025? | Continuous |
| -22.179 | How many medals will the USA win at Paris 2024? | Continuous |
| -27.272 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -29.220 | What will be the minimum Antarctic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years? (2025) | Continuous |
| -30.436 | Will Trump gain at least 10M followers on another platform? | Binary |
| -30.975 | Will Urbit development be ongoing in 2025? | Binary |
| -31.178 | Will Elizabeth Truss become Leader of the UK's Conservative Party before 2025? | Binary |
| -31.552 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
| -32.042 | Will GB News be broadcasting in 2025? | Binary |
| -33.065 | How many deaths will be caused by terrorism globally in 2021? | Continuous |
| -35.725 | How will the World Happiness Report rank the United States in 2022-2024? | Continuous |
| -36.619 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Labour) | Continuous |
| -41.231 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Conservative) | Continuous |
| -42.642 | What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based foods in the U.S. be in 2022? | Continuous |
| -47.220 | How many plug-in electric vehicle sales will there be in the US in 2022? | Continuous |
| -56.445 | Will Magnus Carlsen compete in the next World Chess Championship match? | Binary |
| -61.973 | What will China’s GDP be in 2023? | Continuous |
| -62.069 | Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023? | Binary |
| -64.176 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -65.269 | How will the World Happiness Report rank the United States in 2020-2022? | Continuous |
| -69.003 | Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | Binary |
| -71.336 | What will be the minimum Antarctic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -72.310 | What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based meats be in the U.S. be in 2022? | Continuous |
| -72.862 | Will Substack be valued over $1 Billion before 2024? | Binary |
| -72.948 | Will the UK government announce that they will allow street votes to determine planning permissions by December 31, 2024? | Binary |
| -76.149 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -77.592 | By 2024, will the next Nuclear Posture Review explicitly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| -86.741 | What will be the total expenditure on the military in the US, in billions USD, in 2022? | Continuous |
| -91.073 | How many Chinese institutions of higher education will get approved for an artificial intelligence undergraduate program in 2023? | Continuous |
| -97.074 | What will be the total size of Open Philanthropy's 2022 grants in the nuclear risk area? | Continuous |
| -99.520 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| -103.958 | How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in cultivated meat companies in 2022? | Continuous |
| -133.996 | When will the COVID-19 infection fatality rate fall below 0.05%? | Continuous |
| -139.170 | What will the UK's Index of Economic Freedom score be for 2025? | Continuous |
| -144.814 | If Labor wins the next Australian election, what will the Reserve Bank's cash rate target be in June 2025? | Continuous |
| -170.332 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
| -188.655 | What will be the maximum Antarctic sea ice extent in these years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -190.585 | When will a SpaceX Starship reach orbit? | Continuous |
| -192.185 | How much total capital will be invested in plant-based foods companies through exits (IPOs, direct listings, mergers and acquisitions) in 2022? | Continuous |
| -197.193 | What will be the total size of MacArthur's 2022 and 2023 Nuclear Challenges grants? | Continuous |
| -224.698 | How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| -224.934 | Will SciHub or a successor organisation exist and be uploading new articles in 2023? | Binary |
| -227.214 | When will an algorithm be able to predict the Big Five personality traits of a person from a naturalistic photograph or video? | Continuous |
| -227.782 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2024) | Binary |