| 145.715 | How many software developers will there be in the US in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 135.481 | What will the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio be in the following years? (2026) | Continuous |
| 121.749 | How many members will NATO have on December 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| 107.695 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Terran R) | Continuous |
| 99.371 | Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026? | Binary |
| 99.249 | Will the US place restrictions on the total compute capacity individuals or companies are allowed to have before 2026? | Binary |
| 98.465 | Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 97.310 | Will an AI system solve one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems before July 2025? | Binary |
| 95.389 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Neutron) | Continuous |
| 94.777 | Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 91.879 | Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026? | Binary |
| 90.050 | Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025? | Binary |
| 89.603 | Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026? | Binary |
| 89.362 | Will the US restrict access outside the US to some APIs to generative AI before 2026? | Binary |
| 87.591 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 85.046 | How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 84.321 | Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates? (March 15, 2025) | Binary |
| 82.986 | Will Norway announce an official referendum about EU accession before the next parliamentary election in September 2025? | Binary |
| 81.078 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 80.855 | What will be the maximum number of people in space simultaneously for each of the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 76.968 | Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025? | Binary |
| 76.238 | Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025? | Binary |
| 74.703 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 74.641 | Will the US require purchasers of large numbers of GPUs to report their usage before 2026? | Binary |
| 73.468 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 70.396 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2024) | Binary |
| 68.522 | Will China operate at least one military base in a BRICS country before 2026? | Binary |
| 67.816 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Green) | Binary |
| 67.816 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Christian Democratic) | Binary |
| 67.816 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Patient Focus) | Binary |
| 67.226 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Liberal) | Binary |
| 66.929 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Centre) | Binary |
| 66.929 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Red Party) | Binary |
| 65.935 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Socialist Left) | Binary |
| 62.544 | Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026? | Binary |
| 62.308 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 60.231 | What will the US effective fed funds rate be in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 59.145 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (September 30, 2025) | Continuous |
| 53.947 | Will Fathom Radiant ship a commercial product before 2026? | Binary |
| 53.723 | Will ARC find that GPT-5 has autonomous replication capabilities? | Binary |
| 50.672 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Progress) | Binary |
| 50.330 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 49.559 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 48.582 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 48.582 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 48.582 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 48.582 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 48.582 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 48.582 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 48.566 | Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026? | Binary |
| 48.392 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 47.793 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 47.639 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (March 31, 2025) | Continuous |
| 47.454 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (December 31, 2025) | Continuous |
| 46.327 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (June 30, 2025) | Continuous |
| 45.925 | Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025? | Binary |
| 45.432 | What will be the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 45.415 | How many nuclear weapons will states possess on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 42.974 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (Grüne) | Binary |
| 42.974 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (FDP) | Binary |
| 42.974 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (Die Linke) | Binary |
| 42.966 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (AfD) | Binary |
| 42.924 | Will Tesla file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
| 42.216 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 41.917 | Will there be a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2024? | Binary |
| 41.503 | By 2024, will China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 41.042 | By 2024, will a nuclear-armed state other than the US, Russia, or China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 40.972 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Democratic) | Continuous |
| 40.003 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| 39.913 | Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 39.840 | What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 39.840 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Republican) | Continuous |
| 39.791 | Will Egypt attempt to damage the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2024? | Binary |
| 39.372 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 39.046 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 38.241 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2024) | Binary |
| 37.433 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (SPD) | Binary |
| 36.897 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (December 31, 2024) | Continuous |
| 35.501 | Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 35.501 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 35.144 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 34.641 | How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 34.596 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (CDU/CSU) | Binary |
| 32.493 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (September 30, 2024) | Continuous |
| 32.332 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 31.261 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (June 30, 2024) | Continuous |
| 29.812 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 29.628 | Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 29.580 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
| 29.105 | Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025? | Binary |
| 29.005 | In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 28.419 | What will be Ukraine's score in The Democracy Index in 2024? | Continuous |
| 27.961 | How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 27.609 | What percentage of the US 2024 presidential popular vote will the Democratic and Republican parties (combined) receive? | Continuous |
| 26.118 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 25.980 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Ariane 6) | Continuous |
| 25.398 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Conservative) | Binary |
| 23.496 | In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state? | Binary |
| 22.480 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 20.374 | By 2024, will a party to the NPT withdraw from the treaty? | Binary |
| 20.374 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (India, Israel or Pakistan) | Binary |
| 20.371 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 20.316 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 20.008 | By 2024, will Russia announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 19.935 | By 2024, will Russia clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 19.918 | Will the UK housing market crash before July 2025? | Binary |
| 19.890 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
| 19.456 | Will the US officially state the intention to re-ratify the INF Treaty by 2024? | Binary |
| 19.304 | How many Electoral College votes will the Republican Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
| 19.008 | How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025? | Continuous |
| 18.978 | Will India have at least 200 nuclear warheads at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 18.185 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (New Glenn) | Continuous |
| 18.180 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 18.090 | How many Electoral College votes will the Democratic Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
| 18.015 | Before 2024, will North Korea possess enough fissile material to make at least 100 warheads? | Binary |
| 18.015 | Will at least two states each increase the size of their nuclear weapons arsenals by at least 25% by 2024? | Binary |
| 17.406 | What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 17.106 | Will there be at least one HEMP attack by 2024? | Binary |
| 16.366 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 16.348 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 15.321 | What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 15.030 | What percentage of black voters will vote for a Republican president in the 2024 US presidential election? | Continuous |
| 13.510 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 13.280 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (5: Negotiations initiated) | Continuous |
| 13.248 | In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results? | Binary |
| 12.995 | When will a SpaceX Starship launched as a second stage reach an altitude of 100 kilometers? | Continuous |
| 12.242 | What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year? (2024) | Continuous |
| 10.944 | Will the EU AI Act implement regulations on foundation models? | Binary |
| 10.900 | Before 2024, will the ACLU argue that hate speech should not be protected by the First Amendment? | Binary |
| 10.679 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 9.871 | What will be the minimum arctic sea ice extent in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 9.346 | Will Freedom House report that internet freedom has declined every year until 2025? | Binary |
| 9.317 | What will the fed funds rate be on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 9.290 | What will the US real annual growth rate be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 9.250 | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
| 8.153 | Will USA top the Olympic Medal Table at Paris 2024? | Binary |
| 7.330 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (BJP) | Binary |
| 7.330 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (INC) | Binary |
| 6.936 | What will be the maximum Antarctic sea ice extent in these years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 6.733 | Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 6.328 | How many medals will the USA win at Paris 2024? | Continuous |
| 5.661 | Will the United States score in the bottom 50% for academic freedom in 2025 (according to the AFI)? | Binary |
| 4.596 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (4: Negotiations approved) | Continuous |
| 4.523 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 4.201 | Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) be passed before 2025? | Binary |
| 3.612 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 3.206 | Will China's GDP grow in Q2 to Q4 2022? | Binary |
| 2.885 | Will JetBlue announce that it has acquired Spirit Airlines before 2026? | Binary |
| 2.321 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 1.621 | Will the SEC approve any bitcoin ETF before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 1.322 | Will France place in the Top 5 at the 2024 Paris Olympics? | Binary |
| 1.298 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 0.903 | When will Oleksii Reznikov cease to hold the office of the Minister of Defence of Ukraine? | Continuous |
| 0.260 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| 0.083 | How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 0.075 | When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally? | Continuous |
| -1.108 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -2.538 | Will any senior executives of these major public companies be imprisoned for corporate crimes before 2026? | Binary |
| -3.560 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027? | Binary |
| -4.957 | What will Bitcoin's percentage of total crypto market capitalization be in 2025? | Continuous |
| -13.286 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Labour) | Binary |
| -15.765 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Vulcan Centaur) | Continuous |
| -25.487 | How many uncontrolled reentries will China conduct by 2025? | Continuous |
| -29.436 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026? | Binary |
| -40.997 | Will OpenAI release an LLM product or API that hallucinates 5x less than GPT-4 did when it was released, by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
| -42.418 | Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026? | Binary |
| -97.342 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Starship) | Continuous |
| -112.908 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -139.155 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |