| 98.427 | Will André Ventura win Portugal's 2026 presidential election? | Binary |
| 98.186 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states? (Idaho) | Binary |
| 96.914 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states? (Nebraska) | Binary |
| 96.788 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states? (Arkansas) | Binary |
| 96.725 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states? (Louisiana) | Binary |
| 96.148 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states? (Oregon) | Binary |
| 95.764 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states? (Montana) | Binary |
| 95.601 | Will Jonathan Ross be indicted or charged in the death of Renee Good before July 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 94.291 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states? (Rhode Island) | Binary |
| 93.927 | Will Joe Biden's autopen orders be declared 'null and void' before the 2026 midterms? | Binary |
| 93.598 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states? (Kentucky) | Binary |
| 87.246 | Before May 1, 2026, will the United States offer to purchase Greenland from Denmark? | Binary |
| 86.856 | Will Iran's Internet not be "heavily filtered/whitelisted" for most users before May 2026? | Binary |
| 86.616 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| 84.792 | Will any coding tool introduce an integration with brain-computer interface technology before November 2026? | Binary |
| 84.633 | Will at least 5 non-passengers be linked to the MV Hondius hantavirus outbreak before August 2026? | Binary |
| 81.485 | Will Nvidia's stock price reach a new record close in February 2026? | Binary |
| 80.403 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 79.902 | Will Venezuela announce a presidential election before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 79.048 | Will any NVIDIA GPUs better than the H200 be allowed to be exported to China before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 78.511 | Will OpenAI API token prices fall before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 78.047 | Will the North Atlantic sea surface temperature reach a daily record high before May 2026? | Binary |
| 76.542 | Will the U.S. Congress still be operating under a continuing resolution (CR) on March 15, 2026? | Binary |
| 76.473 | In February 2026, will the weekly amount of finished motor gasoline supplied in the U.S. be highest in the final week of the month? | Binary |
| 76.473 | Will Japan receive more foreign visitors from China than from any other country during January 2026? | Binary |
| 73.981 | How much higher will the Shanghai–LA spot container freight rate be than the Shanghai–Rotterdam rate on March 5, 2026? | Continuous |
| 71.299 | Will the German 10-Year Bond Yield move by 20bps or more during February 2026? | Binary |
| 69.043 | Will Trump ban U.S. states from using mail-in ballots for the 2026 Midterm Elections? | Binary |
| 64.711 | Which country will lead the medal table at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
| 62.851 | [Short fuse] What will be the Rotten Tomatoes Rating for "Melania" on February 13th, 2026? | Continuous |
| 59.750 | What will be the highest price of gold per troy ounce in February 2026? | Continuous |
| 58.420 | Will the number of manufacturing jobs in the US for February 2026 be above 12.7 million? | Binary |
| 48.472 | Will the Community beat Nathan Young in the Metaculus Cup Spring 2026? | Binary |
| 48.305 | Will total MLB regular-season attendance in 2026 exceed 72 million? | Binary |
| 46.729 | Who will win the Tour de France 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 40.086 | Will there be at least one podium sweep at the 2026 Winter Olympic Games? | Binary |
| 38.093 | What will be the US monthly core CPI inflation for February 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 37.808 | Will Wagner Moura win the Academy Award for Best Actor at the 2026 Academy Awards? | Binary |
| 37.296 | What will the United States score on the 2025 Corruption Perceptions Index? | Continuous |
| 36.615 | Will the United States and Iran hold another face-to-face diplomatic meeting before June 6, 2026? | Binary |
| 36.139 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | Multiple Choice |
| 36.017 | Which country will be ranked the least peaceful in the Global Peace Index 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 31.748 | Will the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) close above 30 on more than 5 trading days between April 20, 2026 and May 31, 2026? | Binary |
| 31.652 | How many Oscars will Sinners win at the 2026 Academy Awards? | Continuous |
| 31.008 | Will China's reported holdings of U.S. Treasuries be below $675 billion for December 2025? | Binary |
| 29.436 | Who will win the 2026 FIA Formula One World Drivers' Championship? | Multiple Choice |
| 29.160 | How many MPs will Reform UK have on May 7, 2026? | Continuous |
| 26.843 | What percentage of developers in 2026 will believe that AI coding will decrease the demand for professional developers? | Continuous |
| 23.674 | What will be the Indian Wholesale Price Index monthly inflation rate in January 2026? | Continuous |
| 23.608 | Will the U.S. Supreme Court's decision in Louisiana v. Callais hold that race-conscious districting is unconstitutional? | Binary |
| 23.545 | What percentage of ASML's net system sales will be to China in Q4 2025? | Continuous |
| 22.153 | How many Italian teams will win their 2025–26 Champions League knockout play-off matchups? | Multiple Choice |
| 21.831 | What will be the ratio of search interest between Google and ChatGPT in the first two weeks of March 2026? | Continuous |
| 21.609 | What will be the S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI for February 2026? | Continuous |
| 21.379 | Will Nvidia's revenue for the quarter ending January 25, 2026 exceed Nvidia's guidance by more than 5%? | Binary |
| 19.612 | Will any Individual Neutral Athlete (Russian and Belarusian athletes) win any medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Binary |
| 19.380 | How much in goods will the US export in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 17.025 | What will be the highest price of silver per troy ounce in April 2026? | Continuous |
| 16.206 | What will be the average live TV viewership rating of China Media Group's 2026 Chinese New Year’s Gala? | Continuous |
| 16.165 | What will be Bitcoin's weekly average hash rate on March 12, 2026? | Continuous |
| 14.435 | Which major currency will increase most (or decrease least) in value compared to the US dollar during February 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 14.184 | What will AfD's vote share be in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg state election? | Continuous |
| 13.760 | What will be the Global Peace Index score for the United States in 2026? | Continuous |
| 13.296 | Will any AI model achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GPQA Diamond Benchmark Leaderboard before June 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 10.677 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 9.875 | Will the UN General Assembly adopt a resolution condemning the US operation in Venezuela before February 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 8.844 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 6.306 | Will the United States intervene militarily in Venezuela again before May 2026? | Binary |
| 5.713 | How many runs will be scored in the knockout stage of the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Continuous |
| 5.652 | Will U.S. consumer sentiment in March 2026 be higher than in February 2026? | Binary |
| 5.651 | What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on February 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| 4.746 | Will the United States launch another strike against Islamic State in Nigeria before Christmas 2026? | Binary |
| 3.876 | Will Laura Fernández Delgado win the Costa Rican presidential election? | Binary |
| 3.534 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 3.072 | Which album will win the Best Traditional Country Album Award at the 2026 Grammys? | Multiple Choice |
| 2.828 | How many US banks will fail from January through April 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 2.815 | Who will win the Republican Primary for Kentucky's 4th Congressional District? | Multiple Choice |
| 2.089 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 1.890 | How many dissenting votes will there be at the January 28, 2026 Federal Open Market Committee meeting? | Multiple Choice |
| 1.763 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Nepali House of Representatives election? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.998 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 0.397 | What will be the MoM change to UK retail sales volume during January 2026? | Continuous |
| -0.749 | Who will win the Achievement in Casting Oscar at the 2026 Academy Awards? | Multiple Choice |
| -0.995 | Will the price of Gold rise to $5,000 per troy ounce before 2027? | Binary |
| -1.166 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Checking code for potential issues) | Continuous |
| -2.070 | Will Waymo have a service area of 1,200 square miles before July 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -3.676 | Which Party will win the 2026 Gorton and Denton by-election? | Multiple Choice |
| -3.883 | Will the United States report any locally acquired New World screwworm infestation (in a human or an animal) before 2027? | Binary |
| -3.920 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Writing boilerplate, repetitive code) | Continuous |
| -5.849 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| -7.791 | What will YoY US electricity inflation be for February 2026? | Continuous |
| -8.467 | What percentage of US households will watch Super Bowl LX? | Continuous |
| -8.625 | What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| -9.027 | What will be the price difference between Brent Crude and West Texas Intermediate on March 4, 2026? | Continuous |
| -9.201 | Which game will win the Grammy for Best Score Soundtrack for Video Games and Other Interactive Media in 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| -9.347 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Improving or optimizing code) | Continuous |
| -10.364 | Will the U.S. Senate pass another budget reconciliation bill before July 4, 2026? | Binary |
| -11.675 | What will be the US goods trade balance with China in December 2025? | Continuous |
| -11.859 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election? | Binary |
| -13.625 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Understanding recent code changes) | Continuous |
| -14.933 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Refactoring) | Continuous |
| -15.776 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Debugging) | Continuous |
| -15.908 | When will the Supreme Court release its decision on presidential tariff authority in Learning Resources v. Trump? | Multiple Choice |
| -18.692 | Will Ali Khamenei cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran before 2027? | Binary |
| -21.257 | Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| -25.136 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT Atlas browser be released for Windows before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| -28.448 | How many countries will the United States attack before May 2026? | Continuous |
| -29.699 | Will any US electric utility announce a $5 billion capex increase, citing data center demand, between January 13 and March 12, 2026? | Binary |
| -32.319 | What will EFAMA report as net inflows to European investment funds in December 2025? | Continuous |
| -42.095 | Who will win the 2026 Candidates Tournament? | Multiple Choice |
| -47.658 | Who will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election? | Multiple Choice |
| -48.678 | What will be the average weekly YoY growth of the Redbook Same-Store Retail Sales Index during February 2026? | Continuous |
| -54.204 | Will the United States attack Iran before April 2026? | Binary |
| -54.814 | Will the retail price of rice in Japan fall below ¥4200/5kg before March 9, 2026? | Binary |
| -62.560 | What will be the U.S. Dollar to Argentine Peso exchange rate on March 2, 2026? | Continuous |
| -70.945 | Will layoffs.fyi explicity report at least 100 AI industry layoffs between January 12 and March 13, 2026? | Binary |
| -73.728 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| -75.689 | What will be the combined capex for Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon during the fourth quarter of 2025? | Continuous |
| -83.174 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party win a majority in the 2026 Japanese general election? | Binary |
| -92.093 | Will Iran participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Binary |
| -92.335 | What will be the combined weight (%) of AI companies in the S&P 500 on February 27, 2026? | Continuous |
| -100.657 | What will US manufacturing construction spending be in December 2025? | Continuous |
| -103.732 | What percentage of developers in 2026 will believe that AI will eventually fully replace human developers? | Continuous |
| -127.071 | Will attacks on Israel cause 5+ casualties or a nationwide shelter order before March 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -198.826 | Will the United States gain less than 100,000 new nonfarm jobs between December 2025 and February 2026? | Binary |
| -433.117 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states? (South Carolina) | Binary |
| -476.614 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states? (Kansas) | Binary |
| -547.038 | Will the United States impose additional sanctions on Russia related to the Ukraine war before March 14, 2026? | Binary |