513 | Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050? |
431 | Will Emmanuel Macron be re-elected President of France in 2022? |
415 | Bitcoin Extremes: Will 1 bitcoin be worth $100,000 or more before 2025? |
372 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? |
351 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on June 1, 2022? |
341 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on January 1, 2023? |
303 | Will a member of the Trump family be the Republican nominee for the US Presidency in 2024? |
302 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? |
265 | If the 2024 US Presidential Election is Trump vs. Biden, will Trump win? |
249 | Before 2023, will Joe Biden announce that he will not run for president in 2024? |
248 | When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia? |
229 | Bitcoin Extremes: Will the value of 1 bitcoin fall to $1,000 or less before 2025? |
228 | Will Mehmet Oz win the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? |
225 | Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2025? |
224 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? |
220 | Will Elon Musk hold major political office in the United States before February 2033? |
183 | When will Queen Elizabeth II cease to be Queen of the United Kingdom? |
179 | Will there be a major nuclear accident before 2030? |
178 | Will the United States land humans on the moon again before 2025? |
172 | Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030? |
161 | Will elective abortion be banned nationally in the United States before 2030? |
135 | By January 1, 2050, will it be possible to increase a healthy adult human's IQ by at least two standard deviations in less than 30 days? |
131 | Will Raphael Warnock be re-elected in the 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia? |
130 | When will Liz Truss no longer hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? |
129 | Will Blake Masters win the 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona? |
125 | Will alien technosignatures be detected before 2050? |
125 | Will Elizabeth Truss become Leader of the UK's Conservative Party before 2025? |
123 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? |
122 | When will the first humans land successfully on Mars? |
120 | Will Alex Jones ever hold high Federal office in the United States before 2030? |
119 | Will Peloton file for bankruptcy protection before 2023? |
119 | Will Sam Bankman-Fried be one of the 100 wealthiest people in the world in 2030? |
117 | Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be confirmed as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court before 2023? |
117 | Will Sarah Palin be elected as US Representative for Alaska in 2022? |
115 | Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection in 2022? |
113 | Will the Conservative Party form the first government after the next UK general election? |
104 | Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2025? |
104 | Will Stacey Abrams be elected Governor of Georgia in 2022? |
104 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? |
98 | Will SpaceX file for bankruptcy protection before 1 January 2023? |
94 | Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived? |
90 | Will Beto O'Rourke win the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election? |
87 | Will Costco raise the price of its hot dog and soda combo before 2025? |
86 | Will the British pound trade below $1 before 2023? |
84 | Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 2023? |
81 | Will there be a breakthrough in accurately predicting protein structure before 2031? |
80 | Will the human condition change fundamentally before 2100? |
77 | Will Sam Bankman-Fried return to US soil before February 1, 2023? |
76 | Will Kim Jong-un remain the de facto leader of North Korea until (at least) January 1, 2024? |
73 | Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest? |
72 | What will be the market capitalization of Netflix on December 1, 2022? |
70 | When will "Tesla Bots" be available to US consumers? |
69 | Will Elon Musk personally set foot on the moon by 2030? |
68 | Will Queen Elizabeth II abdicate in 2022? |
68 | Will Jeff Bezos hold major political office in the United States before February 2033? |
67 | When will Neuralink first implant a brain-machine interface device in a living human? |
66 | Will Leondra Kruger be confirmed as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court before 2023? |
65 | Will Catherine Cortez Masto be re-elected in the 2022 US Senate election in Nevada? |
64 | Will the Second Amendment of the United States Constitution be amended or repealed before 2025? |
63 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? |
62 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? |
62 | Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection before 2024? |
61 | Will US Income Inequality Increase by 2025? |
61 | Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? |
61 | Will Boris Johnson fail to be elected in the next UK General Election? |
57 | Will there be a commercial service to travel between London and New York City in under three hours before 2030? |
56 | By 2030, how many people will have ever landed on the Moon? |
51 | Will Doug Mastriano be elected Governor of Pennsylvania in 2022? |
50 | When will a living human first reach a distance of one light year from Earth? |
49 | Will lab-grown complex vital organs be used successfully in humans before 2025? |
48 | Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? |
48 | Will Beyond Meat file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? |
47 | Will Rick Caruso be elected Mayor of Los Angeles in 2022? |
44 | When will the next US Supreme Court vacancy arise? |
44 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? |
43 | Will Turkey be a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2025? |
38 | Will humanity maintain a continuous off-Earth presence until 2050? |
37 | Will there be more people with HIV/AIDS in 2037 than in 2017? |
37 | Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican? |
37 | What will Rivian's market cap be at the close of trading on 20 April 2022? |
37 | Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030? |
35 | Will US life expectancy at birth for both sexes fall below 75 years before 2040? |
35 | Will Tesla file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? |
34 | Will the UK have a Labour government before June 2030? |
33 | Will any of the 20 most valuable public companies in the United States (As of January 2019) file for bankruptcy protection before 2025? |
33 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? |
33 | Will King Charles III abdicate the throne of the United Kingdom before September 9, 2032? |
31 | Will Tom Tugendhat become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030? |
30 | Will a mouse be confirmed to have lived for 2,500 days before 1 January 2035? |
30 | When will the first human be born on another world? |
30 | When will alien technosignatures be detected for the first time? |
30 | How far ahead or behind of Labour will the UK's Conservative Party be in the polls on October 6, 2022? |
29 | When will the first evidence of extraterrestrial life be discovered? |
29 | What will Tesla's market capitalization be on January 1, 2030? |
29 | When will the UK Labour Party next maintain a 10-point polling lead for a month? |
28 | When will the first successful entirely artificial extracorporeal human pregnancy conclude? |
28 | When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party? |
27 | Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030? |
27 | Will Virgin Galactic file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? |
26 | Will any country's military expenditure exceed that of the United States before 2030? |
26 | Will Nigeria's population exceed 400 million before 2050? |
26 | Will lab-grown complex vital organs be used successfully in humans before 2035? |
25 | What will be the longest verified human lifespan on record on January 1 2050? |
25 | Will WeWork file for bankruptcy protection before January 1, 2025? |
24 | When will China first successfully land people on Mars? |
24 | Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election? |
24 | Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037? |
24 | Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026? |
23 | Will Trevor Milton be convicted on federal fraud charges related to Nikola before 2024? |
22 | Will a von Neumann probe be launched before 2050? |
22 | Will any asteroid or comet have been mined in space for commercial purposes before 2030? |
22 | What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD? |
22 | When will there be at least 500 million Americans? |
21 | When will the next (post-Breyer) US Supreme Court vacancy arise? |
20 | When will North Korea have a McDonald's? |
20 | When will any country have a life expectancy at birth for both sexes of at least 100 years? |
20 | What will Peru's GDP per capita (PPP) be in 2030? |
20 | Will the UK Labour Party have a female leader before 2030? |
19 | Will there be another VEI level six (or higher) volcanic eruption on Earth before 2025? |
19 | When will there be at least one billion Americans? |
19 | Will Brendan Fraser win an Oscar in 2023? |
19 | Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026? |
18 | When will Haiti become an upper middle-income country? |
18 | Will a functional Alcubierre drive-like FTL device be demonstrated before 2100? |
17 | Will Philip Davis cease to be Prime Minister of the Bahamas before January 1, 2024? |
16 | Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030? |
16 | When will 100 people or more be in space, or on any astronomical body other than earth, simultaneously? |
16 | How many Electoral College votes will the Democratic Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? |
16 | Will Peloton file for bankruptcy protection before 2024? |
15 | Before 2025, will an asteroid or comet estimated to be at least 50 meters in diameter be detected to be due to collide with Earth before 2100? |
14 | When will the US national debt reach $50 trillion? |
14 | How many Electoral College votes will the Republican Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? |
13 | When will the 10,000th human reach space? |
13 | When will life expectancy at birth for both sexes reach 60 years in all countries? |
12 | When will a crewed spacecraft enter interstellar space for the first time? |
12 | Will any OECD country achieve a 10% or greater reduction in the national rate of obesity for 3 consecutive years before 2030? |
12 | What will the UK's Index of Economic Freedom score be for 2025? |
12 | When will Jeff Bezos first land on the moon? |
11 | Will a new land speed record be set by 2025? |
11 | Will the "Moon Cube" be shown to be non-natural before 2023? |
10 | Is the Zuma satellite still in orbit? |
10 | What will be the lowest cost per kilogram, in US dollars, to deliver a payload to LEO or beyond before 2025? |
10 | What will Peter Thiel's net worth be in January 2030? |
9 | When will the first manned spacecraft touch the surface of any planet, dwarf planet, or moon other than Earth, Earth's Moon, or Mars? |
9 | When will India become a World Bank high-income country? |
9 | Will there be a G4 EA H1N1 flu virus pandemic before 2025? |
9 | When will the first human mission to Venus take place? |
8 | What will be the greatest velocity (in c) attained by a human-made spacecraft before 2050? |
8 | When will President Teodoro Obiang leave office in Equatorial Guinea? |
7 | What will Asana's market cap be on December 1, 2023? |
5 | Will Apollo 10's Lunar Module be recovered by 2050? |
5 | When will the US close the Guantanamo Bay detention camp? |
5 | Will Donald Trump post a new tweet before March 1, 2023? |
4 | What will be the heaviest payload (in kg) put into LEO by a launch vehicle that is in service on January 1, 2050? |
4 | How many hours will the average American employee work per week in 2030? |
3 | What percentage of US residents will be aged 100 years or older on January 1 2050? |
3 | When will the global adult literacy rate reach 95%? |
2 | How large will Monaco be in 2035? |
2 | When will North Korea first put a person in space? |
0 | Will the UK housing market crash before July 2023? |
0 | Will the United States test a nuclear weapon before 2023? |
0 | When will GTA VI be released in the US? |
0 | Will a new Derek Chauvin homicide trial be ordered on or before April 20, 2022? |
0 | Will Tesla become the world's most valuable publicly-traded company before 2023? |