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Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of Semaglutide for the treatment of obesity by 2027?

2%chance

Will oral semaglutide be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2027?

80%chance

Will a small molecule GLP-1-based drug be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2029?

63%chance

Will the combination of semaglutide and cagrilintide be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2027?

43%chance

Will tirzepatide be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA before 2025?

resultYes

When will the FDA or EMA first approve a drug for the treatment of obesity that causes >15% weight loss?

result08 Nov 2023 12:00

When will the FDA or EMA first approve a drug for the treatment of obesity that causes >25% weight loss?

07 Dec 2028

Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of semaglutide for the treatment of obesity or diabetes in 2024?

resultNo

Will a RNA SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved for use in the United States or European Union before 2022?

resultYes

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

80%chance