Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
164
comments
351
forecasters
When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?
Current estimate
05 Apr 2027
Key Factors
Regime change
- Russian economic stability
- Zelensky's approval
16
comments
197
forecasters
Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?
2%
chance
22
comments
122
forecasters
Will combat troops from NATO countries be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
11%
chance
5%
this week
9
comments
112
forecasters
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
50%
Saudi Arabia
15%
South Korea
10%
7 others
21
comments
74
forecasters
Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea
2.5%
Saudi Arabia
1.5%
Saudi Arabia
Annulled
6 others
62
comments
390
forecasters
Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
0.3%
chance
90
comments
188
forecasters
Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?
Ivanivske
99%
Velyka Novosilka
99%
Kostyantynivka
85%
13 others
44
comments
298
forecasters
Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?
25%
chance
32
comments
47
forecasters
What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates?
14
comments
105
forecasters
Will Ukraine lose non-Crimean territory by February 2029, compared to 2013?
99.5%
chance
Load More