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Predicting Russia's Failure

3
14 comments14
Metaculus Journal Archives

By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine?

resultYes

What will total NATO defense spending be in 2022?

result1.17522M

Ukraine Conflict Update for Monday, 2022-03-14

13
1 comment1
Ukraine Conflict

Will a NATO country commit to sending at least one F-16 fighter jet to Ukraine before 2024?

resultYes

Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup?

Spain-Portugal-Moroccoresult: Yes
Uruguay-Argentina-Chile-Paraguayresult: No
Greece-Saudi Arabiaresult: No
and 2 others

900+ Forecasters on Whether Russia Will Invade Ukraine

no comments0

Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?

resultNo

What proportion of NATO member states, excluding the USA, will increase their real 2023 defense spending by at least 25 % compared to 2022?

result17.24137931

Will North Korea send 100 or more troops to Ukraine before 2024?

resultNo