Will at least 5 non-passengers be linked to the MV Hondius hantavirus outbreak before August 2026?1% chance35252 comments210210 forecasters1%chance
Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?result: yes434949 comments238238 forecastersResolvedYes
Will WHO declare hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2027?0.7% chance51818 comments105105 forecasters0.7%chance
Will there be any avian influenza human cases in China reported by the WHO before April 1, 2026?result: no104104 comments101101 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in 2026?result: yes51717 comments763763 forecastersResolvedYes
Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?result: yes274141 comments143143 forecastersResolvedYes
How many cattle will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?8967 (2609 - 34.2k)744 comments4242 forecasters8967 (2609 - 34.2k)
What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?833 comments6161 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook April Update: Measles Surge Slows as Flu Season Ends with Likely Moderate Severity50 comments
Will CDC report at least one newly identified human infection with a novel influenza A virus in the United States before May 1, 2026?result: no121121 comments122122 forecastersResolvedNo
Will WHO Disease Outbreak News publish a new mpox-related item before May 1, 2026?result: no108108 comments109109 forecastersResolvedNo
Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?2121 comments1919 forecasters
How many human infections of monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?104k (80.3k - 160k)377979 comments218218 forecasters104k (80.3k - 160k)
When will an airborne SARS-CoV-2 virus monitor be commercially available?02 Feb 2028 (10 Jul 2025 - >Jan 2034)122 comments44 forecasters02 Feb 2028 (10 Jul 2025 - >Jan 2034)
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026? → Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?77 comments2525 forecasters
Before 2025, will the following occur relating to pasteurized milk and avian influenza H5N1 in the United States?41616 comments2828 forecasters
What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?125757 comments4545 forecasters
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO African region by March 27?2361 (2044 - 2691)112020 comments5353 forecasters2361 (2044 - 2691)
How many pigs will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?848k (376k - 2.15M)51212 comments5151 forecasters848k (376k - 2.15M)
When will a human cure for herpes simplex for oral region be available for purchase?Oct 2032 (27 Jul 2029 - Jun 2036)522 comments99 forecastersOct 2032 (27 Jul 2029 - Jun 2036)
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?77.2 cases (69.6 - 145)8484 comments8383 forecasters77.2 cases (69.6 - 145)
Will the CDC confirm a case of Marburg virus disease in a US resident before January 1, 2025?result: no6363 comments3131 forecastersResolvedNo