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Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

6
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
0 comments
109 forecasters

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

14%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

10 comments
8 forecasters

Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?

15%chance
2 comments
18 forecasters

When will the WHO COVID-19 PHEIC expire?

community
06 Jun 2023
result
05 May 2023 07:53
10 comments
17 forecasters

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

RSV3.49
Flu9.81
COVID-193.85
8 comments
74 forecasters

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

Current estimate
36.4k deaths
13 comments
18 forecasters

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

00
8 comments
30 forecasters

Will at least one mink farm worker die from any strain of bird flu in 2023?

resultNo
41 comments
143 forecasters

Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?

resultYes
condition

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

24 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

13%
13%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

0%
0%
77 comments
24
24 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25