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Artificial Intelligence
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0
comments
32
forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
OVH
29%
Google Cloud
20%
Microsoft Azure
14%
1 other
2
comments
40
forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?
OVH
25%
Amazon Web Services
5%
Microsoft Azure
5%
1 other
Oct 29 Update of Activities for Foresight Grant
0
comments
9
comments
40
forecasters
At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?
Mark Zuckerberg
result:
No
Sundar Pichai
result:
No
Sam Altman
result:
No
2 others
3
comments
61
forecasters
Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?
Alphabet
34.6%
OpenAI
21.2%
Anthropic
18.2%
3 others
26%
8
comments
35
forecasters
Will there be a leading AI lab with no internal safety team in the following years?
7
comments
34
forecasters
Before 2030, how many new AI labs will be leading labs within 2 years of their founding?
0 or 1
42.6%
2 or 3
41.8%
4 or 5
10.6%
3 others
5%
Economic Impacts of Artificial General Intelligence
10
0
comments
AI Progress Essay Contest
14
comments
63
forecasters
Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?
Google DeepMind
20%
Amazon
5%
Microsoft
4%
14 others
3
comments
19
forecasters
When will the first company with a market cap above the given figures be openly run by an AI CEO?
00
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