What will the U.S. score on the Rule of Law Index in 2028, conditional on control of Congress?0 comments1010 forecasters
Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states?366 comments102102 forecasters
Will AI safety legislation be enacted in 2027-2028, conditional on control of Congress?111 comment3838 forecasters
Which party will hold the most seats in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?11 comment8282 forecasters
Will the U.S. Congress limit presidential war powers before January 3, 2029, conditional on control of Congress?0 comments5252 forecasters
Will the 120th Congress pass a bill restoring enhanced ACA premium tax credits, conditional on control of Congress?44 comments3636 forecasters
Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections?157373 comments314314 forecasters
What will the total enacted U.S. foreign aid appropriations be for FY2028, conditional on control of Congress?0 comments2828 forecasters
Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?91616 comments3838 forecasters
What will be the final value of the U.S. Democracy Threat Index for 2027-2028, conditional on control of Congress?10 comments4040 forecasters
Will the 2026 U.S. midterm elections be considered "free and fair"?90% chance388 comments4545 forecasters90%chance
Will a bill restricting federal abortion funding or access pass both chambers of the 120th Congress, conditional on control of Congress?0 comments5050 forecasters
Which party will control the US Congress following the 2026 midterm elections?1366 comments155155 forecasters
Will a bill limiting presidential tariff authority pass both chambers of the 120th Congress, conditional on control of Congress?0 comments4949 forecasters
In the following U.S. presidential elections, will any state fail to submit a slate of electoral votes to Congress by the safe harbor deadline?0 comments105105 forecasters
Which party will hold the most seats in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?202828 comments583583 forecasters
How many Congresspeople will be endorsed by the Democratic Socialists of America on January 4th, 2031?13.2 congresspeople (4.66 - 29.4)344 comments99 forecasters13.2 congresspeople (4.66 - 29.4)
Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?5% chance344 comments194194 forecasters5%chance
Will U.S. Congress pass new limits on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in the following years?133 comments120120 forecasters
Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?10 comments107107 forecasters