Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?51616 comments254254 forecasters
Will an active duty U.S. senior military leader join an election campaign or accept a civilian executive position in the following years?11 comment9797 forecasters
Will US President Donald J. Trump visit any of these countries before January 20, 2029?-12626 comments9494 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?91616 comments249249 forecasters
Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?60% chance162020 comments167167 forecasters60%chance
Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?62584584 comments1.2k1.2k forecasters
Will Donald Trump declare a national emergency related to election integrity before November 3, 2026?33.3% chance11 comment6969 forecasters33.3%chance
Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach ≥4x its value before they became president at any point in the following years?322 comments149149 forecasters
Will both Kalshi and Polymarket assign >20% odds to the major-party nomination of an already twice-elected U.S. president in the following years?22 comments104104 forecasters
Will Trump ban U.S. states from using mail-in ballots for the 2026 Midterm Elections?4% chance22 comments2828 forecasters4%chance
Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?32.1% chance499 comments4343 forecasters32.1%chance
Will an opposing-party authority block or remove a major-party nominee for statewide office from the U.S. general-election ballot in the following years?20 comments105105 forecasters
Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?5% chance11717 comments4242 forecasters5%chance
Will the next U.S. President have a beard or mustache when elected?10% chance388 comments2222 forecasters10%chance
Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?0 comments112112 forecasters
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?198282 comments235235 forecasters
What will be the Economist Democracy Index for the United States for 2026?7.56 (7.34 - 7.73)20 comments140140 forecasters7.56 (7.34 - 7.73)
Will the US Constitution be amended to enable a third presidential term by Nov 2028?0.6% chance1044 comments4848 forecasters0.6%chance