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What will be the Democratic candidate's Electoral College margin in the 2028 US presidential election?

8.89 votes (-18.8 - 36.4)

0 comments
10
10 forecasters
8.89 votes
(-18.8 - 36.4)

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

19
8282 comments
235
235 forecasters

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

9
2525 comments
260
260 forecasters

Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

50
418418 comments
1.2k
1.2k forecasters

Will a woman be elected US president in or before the 2044 election?

65% chance

77 comments
32
32 forecasters
65%chance

What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024?

2
1414 comments
16
16 forecasters

Will Donald Trump declare a national emergency related to election integrity before November 3, 2026?

31% chance

1
22 comments
100
100 forecasters
31%chance

In these months, what will be Biden's polling margin over Trump according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average?

3
6060 comments
30
30 forecasters

Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?

6
1818 comments
263
263 forecasters

Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?

9
1616 comments
38
38 forecasters

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

312
3.9k3.9k comments
3.6k
3.6k forecasters

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

62% chance

17
2424 comments
175
175 forecasters
62%chance

Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

62
584584 comments
1.2k
1.2k forecasters

Which party's nominee will win the 2028 US presidential election?

4
99 comments
60
60 forecasters

What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

15
3838 comments
64
64 forecasters

Will Trump ban U.S. states from using mail-in ballots for the 2026 Midterm Elections?

3.7% chance

33 comments
38
38 forecasters
3.7%chance

Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?

5% chance

1
2020 comments
43
43 forecasters
5%chance

Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?

0 comments
119
119 forecasters

Will US President Donald J. Trump visit any of these countries before January 20, 2029?

-1
2727 comments
94
94 forecasters

Will an active duty U.S. senior military leader join an election campaign or accept a civilian executive position in the following years?

11 comment
103
103 forecasters

Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day?

21
238238 comments
223
223 forecasters

What will be the Economist Democracy Index for the United States for 2026?

7.54 (7.3 - 7.72)

2
0 comments
150
150 forecasters
7.54
(7.3 - 7.72)