What will happen in the Russia–Ukraine war between July 20 and September 1, 2026?42222 comments184184 forecasters
Will any personnel of the International Stabilization Force be deployed into Gaza before August 25, 2026?0 comments66 forecasters%chance
Will Iran and Israel both conduct direct military strikes on each other's territory between June 13 and June 28, 2026?result: no11 comment9898 forecastersResolvedNo
How many confirmed deaths will be attributed to the US-Israel-Iran war over the course of 2026?77 comments22 forecasters
Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025?result: no122727 comments210210 forecastersResolvedNo
Will third countries directly intervene in the Israel-Gaza War before July 2024?123232 comments9595 forecasters
Will Georgia control South Ossetia and Abkhazia before 2028?0.1% chance733 comments5858 forecasters0.1%chance
Will any national military or state-affiliated armed forces deploy at least 5,000 quadruped robots in an active conflict zone before 2031?35% chance99 comments4343 forecasters35%chance
Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024?result: no955 comments100100 forecastersResolvedNo
Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?20% chance466 comments3535 forecasters20%chance
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?318383 comments167167 forecasters
Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution before 2030?3% chance102929 comments180180 forecasters3%chance
Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?3.5% chance161717 comments227227 forecasters3.5%chance
Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?29% chance255 comments2424 forecasters29%chance
If Russia detonates a nuclear device offensively before 2024, which cities will be ongoing battlegrounds at that time?152020 comments3333 forecasters
When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?08 Dec 2027 (01 Feb 2027 - 01 Mar 2029)47172172 comments399399 forecasters08 Dec 2027 (01 Feb 2027 - 01 Mar 2029)
What will be the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict in the following years?101212 comments7171 forecasters
Will the Republic of Ireland abandon the policy of military neutrality before 2030?25% chance388 comments3434 forecasters25%chance
Will Zelenskyy Swap Territory/Cede Land to End the War?29% chance299 comments9292 forecasters29%chance