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0
comments
107
forecasters
Will conflict between Thailand and Cambodia result in 500 deaths from March 28 to December 31, 2025?
7%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
condition
Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?
2
forecasters
if yes
if no
Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?
19%
19%
Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?
28%
28%
1
1
comment
2
2
forecasters
0
comments
97
forecasters
Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?
20%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
2
comments
21
forecasters
Will Zelenskyy Swap Territory/Cede Land to End the War?
20%
chance
5%
this week
0
comments
98
forecasters
Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?
15%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
161
comments
345
forecasters
When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?
Current estimate
11 Apr 2027
0
comments
11
forecasters
Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before March 1, 2026?
52%
chance
10%
this week
28
comments
407
forecasters
Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?
10%
chance
5
comments
64
forecasters
Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?
8%
chance
5%
this week
5
comments
100
forecasters
Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024?
result
No
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