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9
comments
111
forecasters
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
57%
Saudi Arabia
15%
South Korea
10%
7 others
63
comments
339
forecasters
Will there be a major nuclear accident before 2030?
10%
chance
10
comments
32
forecasters
Will Australia operate a nuclear power plant before 2042?
22%
chance
21
comments
73
forecasters
Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea
3%
Saudi Arabia
1%
Taiwan
1%
6 others
5
comments
16
forecasters
How many terawatt-hours of electricity will be generated from nuclear power worldwide in the year 2030?
Current estimate
3221 TWh
15
comments
282
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
29%
chance
4
comments
67
forecasters
By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?
16%
chance
10
comments
65
forecasters
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates?
11
comments
47
forecasters
What percent of US energy will be produced by nuclear fission power in 2050?
Current estimate
9.74%
1
comment
20
forecasters
What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by countries by 2050 will be on cities with >1500 people per km^2?
Current estimate
0.226%
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