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21
comments
73
forecasters
Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea
3%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Ukraine
1%
6 others
9
comments
109
forecasters
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
63%
Saudi Arabia
14%
South Korea
9%
7 others
4
comments
65
forecasters
By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?
16%
chance
9
comments
92
forecasters
What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years?
10
comments
32
forecasters
Will Australia operate a nuclear power plant before 2042?
22%
chance
9
comments
307
forecasters
If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?
Ukraine
15%
Israel
13%
India
13%
5 others
7
comments
32
forecasters
When will a fusion reactor reach the following energy gain (Q) milestones?
00
10
comments
64
forecasters
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates?
61
comments
334
forecasters
Will there be a major nuclear accident before 2030?
14%
chance
15
comments
281
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
29.2%
chance
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