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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
9 comments
111 forecasters

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

Iran57%
Saudi Arabia15%
South Korea10%
63 comments
339 forecasters

Will there be a major nuclear accident before 2030?

10%chance
10 comments
32 forecasters

Will Australia operate a nuclear power plant before 2042?

22%chance
21 comments
73 forecasters

Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

South Korea3%
Saudi Arabia1%
Taiwan1%
5 comments
16 forecasters

How many terawatt-hours of electricity will be generated from nuclear power worldwide in the year 2030?

Current estimate
3221 TWh
15 comments
282 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

29%chance
4 comments
67 forecasters

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

16%chance
10 comments
65 forecasters

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates?

11 comments
47 forecasters

What percent of US energy will be produced by nuclear fission power in 2050?

Current estimate
9.74%
1 comment
20 forecasters

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by countries by 2050 will be on cities with >1500 people per km^2?

Current estimate
0.226%