If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?198282 comments235235 forecasters
What will be the final value of the U.S. Democracy Threat Index for 2027-2028, conditional on control of Congress?0 comments2828 forecasters
How do we operationalize whether the US will experience a constitutional crisis/widespread unrest after 2020 elections?143030 comments
Launched: The RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge | $10K in Prizes + Opportunities for Students81919 comments