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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
14
0
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
82
comments
235
forecasters
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump (R)
result:
Yes
Kamala Harris (D)
result:
No
Gavin Newsom (D)
Annulled
17 others
3.9k
comments
3.6k
forecasters
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Donald Trump
result:
Yes
Gretchen Whitmer
result:
No
Pete Buttigieg
result:
No
17 others
29
comments
80
forecasters
Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?
2030
63%
2040
40%
2050
40%
What questions do you have about the US presidential administration?
6
20
20
comments
Predict the Impact of the 2024 US Presidential Election
10
0
comments
Public Figures: New Figure Suggestions
34
183
183
comments
Scott Alexander's 2022 Predictions
15
0
comments
2022 Scott Alexander predictions
The Expansion of Executive War Powers
6
3
3
comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
"Foot Voting" Coordination Efforts
17
6
6
comments
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