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Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?

11% chance

4

49

49 forecasters

11%chance

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Consciousness of future AI systems

52.7 (38 - 67.8)

9

59

59 forecasters

52.7

(38 - 67.8)

Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?

6

16

16 forecasters

When will the 2020 PhilPapers Survey results be publicly available?

11 May 2021 (04 Apr 2021 - 12 Jul 2021)

2

40

40 forecasters

11 May 2021

(04 Apr 2021 - 12 Jul 2021)

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Is mind uploading thought to amount to death?

52.6 (37.1 - 66.9)

5

55

55 forecasters

52.6

(37.1 - 66.9)

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Immortality - would philosophers choose it?

45.4 (28.8 - 62.2)

6

66

66 forecasters

45.4

(28.8 - 62.2)

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Biological-ness of race

32.4 (21 - 46)

4

54

54 forecasters

32.4

(21 - 46)

PhilPapers survey mini-series: The many-worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics

32.7 (22.4 - 45.1)

4

57

57 forecasters

32.7

(22.4 - 45.1)

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Permissibility of genetic engineering

55.8 (43.5 - 68.4)

8

57

57 forecasters

55.8

(43.5 - 68.4)

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Impermissibility of eating animals and animal products

42.7 (30.2 - 56.6)

13

65

65 forecasters

42.7

(30.2 - 56.6)

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Support for open borders

40.8 (27.7 - 56.4)

5

53

53 forecasters

40.8

(27.7 - 56.4)

Animal Welfare Series

11

Discussion page for the Fermi Paradox question series

13

Tech Futures - 52 Conversation Starters

2

Future Effective Altruism Resources series

6

Nominal Shocks and Real Shocks

11

A Global Catastrophe This Century

24

Erik Hoel & Claimed Public Figure Pages

6

Computability and Complexity

16

Where is the AGI Roadmap?

5

Action Ontologies, Computer Ontologies

19

The next five years

5

Deep Learning ourselves into the unknown

3

Shared Vision Series: Base Rates

10