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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
26 comments
43 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?

11%chance
9% this week
4 comments
59 forecasters

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Consciousness of future AI systems

community
52.7
result
39.19

A Global Catastrophe This Century

24
22 comments
Metaculus Journal Archives

Metaculus's First Spanish-Language Contest: Kiko Llaneras Tournament 🔮

8
66 comments

Forecast International Elections With Data Journalist Kiko Llaneras

11
33 comments

Forecast on Bryan Caplan's Bets in New Series

7
0 comments
7 comments
16 forecasters

Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?

Study 258.3%
Study 153%

Shared Vision Series: Base Rates

10
33 comments
11 comments
40 forecasters

When will the 2020 PhilPapers Survey results be publicly available?

community
11 May 2021
result
28 Oct 2021 05:00
2 comments
55 forecasters

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Is mind uploading thought to amount to death?

community
52.6
result
54.23