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yshemesh
Predictions
6
Comments
64
Member Since
September 2020
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by yshemesh
51 comments
119 forecasters
Will polling in the US presidential election miss the true results by 3 percentage points or more?
result
No
69 comments
150 forecasters
Will Democrats win a majority in the senate in the 2020 elections?
result
No
93 comments
142 forecasters
Will there be a terrorist attack in an OECD founding member state causing more than 3 deaths between November 3rd 2020 and up until March 1st 2021?
result
No
67 comments
147 forecasters
Will there be at least 10 fatalites caused in post-election political violence in the United States?
result
No
35 comments
134 forecasters
Before December 25th, 2020, will cumulative confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the United States exceed 12 million?
result
Yes
25 comments
118 forecasters
Will North Korea launch an intercontinental ballistic missile between November 3rd 2020 and March 1st 2021?
result
No
54 comments
115 forecasters
On 1 January 2021, will the rate of new confirmed deaths per million from COVID-19 in Sweden be higher than Denmark?
result
Yes
26 comments
159 forecasters
On January 1st, 2021, will Americans' opposition to Black Lives Matter be higher than 40%?
result
No
35 comments
112 forecasters
By January 2021, will Consumer Confidence in the United States return to optimism?
result
No
45 comments
152 forecasters
Will the S&P 500 close higher in 2020 than 2019?
result
Yes
40 comments
150 forecasters
Will voter turnout for the US 2020 presidential election be higher than 2016 by 2 percentage points or more?
result
Yes
77 comments
136 forecasters
Will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate that has demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT be administered to 10M people by March 1st 2021?
result
Yes
44 comments
128 forecasters
By March 1st, 2021, will Israel and Saudi Arabia announce a peace or normalization agreement?
result
No
83 comments
226 forecasters
Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump concede in the 2020 US presidential elections by November 17th?
result
No
48 comments
The 20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest