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Contests

This page shows the obsolete contests. They were superseded in April 2021 by Tournaments.

Contest Start End Questions
Forecasting AI Progress — Bayes Prize Leaderboard Dec 13, 2020 Apr 16, 2021 81
Consensus Forecasting . . .
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament I Feb 17, 2020 Jun 17, 2020 52
Li Wenliang Tournament 2 . . .
Covid-19 Tournament Round 2 . . .
Cryptocurrency Prediction Contest Sep 14, 2017 Dec 1, 2017 24
Forecasting AI Progress — Deep Learning Round Feb 13, 2021 Apr 16, 2021 30
El Paso Series . . .
COVID-19 Lightning Round Tournament [first tournament] . . .
COVID-19 Lightning Round Tournament [second tournament] . . .
Foresight 2020 contest Oct 14, 2019 Oct 31, 2020 13
Forecasting AI Progress — Hill Climbing Round Jan 13, 2021 Mar 15, 2021 29
Lockdown Tournament . . .
Forecasting AI Progress — Maximum Likelihood Round Dec 9, 2020 Jun 15, 2021 29
Road to recovery Oct 1, 2020 Feb 28, 2021 16
Salk Tournament . . .

Like many mid-sized US cities, El Paso County, Texas (Pop. 850,000) is bracing for the impact of COVID-19, which is still very much on the rise.

As is too often the case, local public health leaders and organizations find it challenging to get access to reliable models and forecasts that can meaningfully support response planning *before* the crisis hits.

In this question series we ask a set of approximately a dozen core questions that have been formulated in partnership with administrators at Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center, El Paso, and will help guide their on-the-ground decisions.

Thank you for electing to use your good judgment for good!

Rank Player Points Questions
1 Pablo 308 8
2 traviswfisher 263 8
3 PepeS 247 8
4 KnowThyself 221 8
5 Vang 215 8
6 KrisMoore 206 8
7 Zweihander 206 8
8 Jgalt 203 8
9 oughtpublic 192 8
10 ought 176 7
11 Reprisal 169 7
12 datscilly 167 8
13 foo 131 7
14 jack 127 8
15 steven0461 110 6
16 Jrob6122 110 2
17 DanielFilan 107 6
18 Random5 104 2
19 onlyasith 80 4
20 niplav 57 7
21 ProfDC 46 1
22 katifish 45 5
23 M4 43 1
24 Cory 41 4
25 isinlor 37 1
26 qassiov 31 1
27 Nichevo 25 1
28 1point7point4 20 1
29 9272 20 1
30 Jotto 18 1
31 felawinkelmolen 15 2
32 AABoyles 10 5
33 AndrewMcKnight 10 2
34 krtnu 10 4
35 randallburns 9 4
36 elicit 7 1
37 mattvdm 7 1
38 oliveira.m 0 1
39 BrentR -186 3