Contests
This page shows the obsolete contests. They were superseded in April 2021 by Tournaments.
| Contest | Start | End | Questions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasting AI Progress — Bayes Prize Leaderboard | Dec 13, 2020 | Apr 16, 2021 | 81 |
| Consensus Forecasting | . | . | . |
| Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament I | Feb 17, 2020 | Jun 17, 2020 | 52 |
| Li Wenliang Tournament 2 | . | . | . |
| Covid-19 Tournament Round 2 | . | . | . |
| Cryptocurrency Prediction Contest | Sep 14, 2017 | Dec 1, 2017 | 24 |
| Forecasting AI Progress — Deep Learning Round | Feb 13, 2021 | Apr 16, 2021 | 30 |
| El Paso Series | . | . | . |
| COVID-19 Lightning Round Tournament [first tournament] | . | . | . |
| COVID-19 Lightning Round Tournament [second tournament] | . | . | . |
| Foresight 2020 contest | Oct 14, 2019 | Oct 31, 2020 | 13 |
| Forecasting AI Progress — Hill Climbing Round | Jan 13, 2021 | Mar 15, 2021 | 29 |
| Lockdown Tournament | . | . | . |
| Forecasting AI Progress — Maximum Likelihood Round | Dec 9, 2020 | Jun 15, 2021 | 29 |
| Road to recovery | Oct 1, 2020 | Feb 28, 2021 | 16 |
| Salk Tournament | . | . | . |
Metaculus will be participating in COVID-19 Expert Surveys, in collaboration
with researchers the University of Massachusetts Amherst. Your skills will
be compared to the forecasting ability of infectious disease experts!
Each
week we will be launching up to 8 questions in which the community will have
30 hours to lock in their predictions.
Researchers will
concurrently distribute the same questions to some of the worlds leading
infectious disease experts.
The resulting Metaculus predictions
(your predictions!) and expert forecasts will be gathered into a weekly
report that is sent to the CDC.
| Rank | Player | Points | Questions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | datscilly | 230 | 4 |
| 2 | bzial | 211 | 4 |
| 3 | Cory | 209 | 4 |
| 4 | koadma | 201 | 4 |
| 5 | traviswfisher | 199 | 4 |
| 6 | onlyasith | 196 | 4 |
| 7 | alexrjl | 193 | 4 |
| 8 | Zweihander | 184 | 4 |
| 9 | ninjaedit | 183 | 4 |
| 10 | Pablo | 180 | 4 |
| 11 | thomasr75 | 173 | 4 |
| 12 | elifland | 160 | 4 |
| 13 | jack | 159 | 4 |
| 14 | steven0461 | 149 | 4 |
| 15 | qassiov | 143 | 4 |
| 16 | Random5 | 143 | 4 |
| 17 | foo | 138 | 4 |
| 18 | KnowName | 135 | 4 |
| 19 | llamaquack1 | 134 | 4 |
| 20 | PepeS | 132 | 4 |
| 21 | mainlinevkk | 131 | 4 |
| 22 | HadiKhan | 128 | 4 |
| 23 | randallburns | 127 | 4 |
| 24 | Linch | 126 | 4 |
| 25 | Jgalt | 124 | 4 |
| 26 | timothymh | 123 | 2 |
| 27 | underyx | 123 | 4 |
| 28 | isinlor | 119 | 3 |
| 29 | JamesEvans | 119 | 4 |
| 30 | Reprisal | 117 | 4 |
| 31 | beala | 111 | 3 |
| 32 | BioSNN | 109 | 4 |
| 33 | martinjameshall3 | 109 | 4 |
| 34 | fewerlacunae | 108 | 4 |
| 35 | CredibleHulk | 105 | 4 |
| 36 | oldwindways | 104 | 2 |
| 37 | jonathanjouty | 104 | 4 |
| 38 | sikander | 98 | 4 |
| 39 | davidmanheim | 96 | 4 |
| 40 | niplav | 96 | 4 |
| 41 | krtnu | 91 | 4 |
| 42 | mike.wotton | 91 | 1 |
| 43 | jaszczur | 85 | 4 |
| 44 | KrisMoore | 82 | 3 |
| 45 | Morpheus | 80 | 4 |
| 46 | FranekŻak | 78 | 4 |
| 47 | devrandom | 76 | 1 |
| 48 | stock1 | 75 | 4 |
| 49 | vandekolkb | 71 | 1 |
| 50 | Nichevo | 69 | 4 |
| 51 | Vang | 69 | 4 |
| 52 | Jrob6122 | 65 | 4 |
| 53 | rt2895i | 61 | 4 |
| 54 | zocalo | 60 | 2 |
| 55 | 9272 | 58 | 4 |
| 56 | fifferfefferfef | 50 | 4 |
| 57 | ciocci | 38 | 2 |
| 58 | mbocrowley | 37 | 1 |
| 59 | AABoyles | 31 | 2 |
| 60 | mattvdm | 30 | 1 |
| 61 | sxqk | 27 | 1 |
| 62 | james.jj.barry | 24 | 4 |
| 63 | jordime | 20 | 4 |
| 64 | number1runningbare | 17 | 1 |
| 65 | Walthari | 16 | 1 |
| 66 | chris.j.cundy | -2 | 4 |
| 67 | Afrowiz | -2 | 4 |
| 68 | CastilianoVulgo | -13 | 4 |
| 69 | TheSingleMalt | -31 | 4 |
| 70 | SamSarmad | -79 | 4 |
| 71 | emcanterbury | -95 | 4 |
| 72 | bokkash | -113 | 4 |
| 73 | Belteshazzar | -206 | 1 |
| 74 | noodlemcdoodle | -259 | 1 |
| 75 | kameshaiyer | -328 | 3 |