| 132.024 | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (Flu) | Continuous |
| 130.864 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (COVID-19) | Continuous |
| 130.640 | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (Combined) | Continuous |
| 127.192 | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (RSV) | Continuous |
| 119.561 | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (COVID-19) | Continuous |
| 115.667 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (Flu) | Continuous |
| 113.360 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Florida for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 113.119 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
California for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 112.722 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Texas) | Continuous |
| 112.620 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Colorado for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 111.859 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (Combined) | Continuous |
| 111.669 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Florida) | Continuous |
| 111.368 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Pennsylvania for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 111.329 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Colorado) | Continuous |
| 110.173 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Illinois for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 109.773 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Pennsylvania) | Continuous |
| 109.608 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
New York for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 108.832 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Illinois) | Continuous |
| 108.295 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Massachusetts) | Continuous |
| 108.142 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (California) | Continuous |
| 102.273 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (New York) | Continuous |
| 99.685 | Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 98.976 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Texas for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 98.679 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
| 98.616 | Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024? | Binary |
| 98.267 | Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise? (2024) | Binary |
| 98.195 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Washington for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 97.687 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI against Microsoft) | Binary |
| 97.416 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI against Sam Altman) | Binary |
| 97.416 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (Sam Altman against OpenAI) | Binary |
| 97.380 | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 97.009 | Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant be classified as a Variant of Concern (VOC) or worse in the United States before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 97.003 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 96.109 | India Acts in Pakistan by 2024 Election? (No) → Fatality due to Nuclear Detonation by 2025? | Binary |
| 96.005 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 95.736 | Will Cris Ericson win the 2024 United States Senate election in Vermont? | Binary |
| 95.657 | Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025? | Binary |
| 94.849 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 94.368 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 94.065 | Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025? | Binary |
| 93.836 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 93.819 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be generally available in the European Union on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 93.695 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 93.668 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 92.178 | Which Republican candidate will win the most delegates on Super Tuesday? | Multiple Choice |
| 91.676 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vishwanathan Anand) | Binary |
| 91.672 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Yuriy Kuzubov) | Binary |
| 91.654 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Etienne Bacrot) | Binary |
| 91.653 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nihal Sarin) | Binary |
| 91.646 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexander Grischuk) | Binary |
| 91.607 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda) | Binary |
| 91.601 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Maxime Vachier-Lagrave) | Binary |
| 91.594 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vladimir Fedoseev) | Binary |
| 91.589 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hans Niemann) | Binary |
| 91.256 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 91.141 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexandr Predke) | Binary |
| 91.138 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Levon Aronian) | Binary |
| 91.136 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vincent Keymer) | Binary |
| 91.077 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Sam Sevian) | Binary |
| 91.074 | Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 91.034 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 90.788 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, R House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 90.720 | Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 90.343 | Will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000 before 2025? | Binary |
| 89.896 | Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates? (March 15, 2024) | Binary |
| 89.867 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
| 89.867 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu) | Binary |
| 89.848 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Fabiano Caruana) | Binary |
| 89.823 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 89.576 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
| 89.573 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
| 89.483 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov) | Binary |
| 89.455 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Amin Tabatabaei) | Binary |
| 89.359 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vidit Gujrathi) | Binary |
| 89.159 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Massachusetts for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 89.069 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 88.983 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 88.696 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
| 88.340 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Richard Rapport) | Binary |
| 87.473 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 86.440 | By what year will AI resolve binary questions on Metaculus? (2025) | Binary |
| 86.353 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
| 85.883 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 85.589 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nijat Abasov) | Binary |
| 85.418 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, R House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 85.377 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 84.952 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Andre Esipenko) | Binary |
| 84.337 | Will X (formerly Twitter) be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 83.339 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Arjun Erigaisi) | Binary |
| 83.309 | Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 82.225 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 82.225 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 81.285 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 80.894 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Magnus Carlsen) | Binary |
| 77.393 | Will the maximum weekly rate of hospitalizations per 100,000 in the US occur within four weeks of the combined peak for each of COVID, influenza, and RSV in the 2023-24 season? | Binary |
| 77.302 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 77.249 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 77.224 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, R House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 77.117 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, D House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 77.105 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 76.901 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| 76.308 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 73.743 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 73.665 | Will an LLM by Apple be ranked in the top-5 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 73.482 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Parham Maghsoodloo) | Binary |
| 73.355 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Leinier Domínguez Pérez) | Binary |
| 72.842 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 72.703 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 72.703 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 72.702 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 72.701 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
| 72.698 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 72.602 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 72.599 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
| 72.352 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (GUE-NGL) | Binary |
| 72.352 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (ID) | Binary |
| 72.087 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 72.087 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 72.087 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 71.048 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (Greens–EFA) | Binary |
| 71.037 | Will OpenAI Inc. change its mission statement before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 70.631 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| 70.130 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 69.638 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Wesley So) | Binary |
| 68.701 | What percent of US adults will report having received an updated COVID booster vaccine for the 2023-2024 season on the following dates? (March 30, 2024) | Continuous |
| 67.985 | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
| 67.913 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (ECR) | Binary |
| 67.661 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (Renew) | Binary |
| 67.550 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
| 67.243 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
| 67.143 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 67.143 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
| 67.143 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 67.143 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
| 67.142 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
| 67.142 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Byron Donalds) | Binary |
| 66.895 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? (Jan. 13, 2024) | Continuous |
| 66.633 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 66.444 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
| 66.416 | Will the stock price of NVIDIA trade below $250 (adjusted to pre-split value) for at least 1 full day before 2025? | Binary |
| 65.923 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 65.534 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 65.022 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 64.235 | Will Alphabet’s (GOOG) market capitalisation fall below $1 Trillion by 2025? | Binary |
| 62.801 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 61.948 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
| 61.743 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
| 60.738 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? (Jan. 27, 2024) | Continuous |
| 59.475 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alireza Firouzja) | Binary |
| 56.038 | Will China's economy grow faster than India's in 2023? | Binary |
| 56.034 | Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024? | Binary |
| 55.609 | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 54.992 | Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025? | Binary |
| 54.817 | What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in the United States for the following weeks? (Feb. 10, 2024) | Continuous |
| 53.644 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (S&D) | Binary |
| 53.440 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 52.320 | What will be the weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States for the following weeks? (Jan. 13, 2024) | Continuous |
| 52.217 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 51.673 | Will US Attorney General Merrick Garland be impeached before the 2024 federal election? | Binary |
| 50.773 | Will Oil Exports account for less than 70% of Saudi Arabian exports in Q1 2024? | Binary |
| 48.575 | What will be the weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States for the following weeks? (Feb. 10, 2024) | Continuous |
| 48.374 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (New York Knicks) | Binary |
| 48.187 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Missouri for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 47.977 | How many federal judges will the US Senate confirm in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 47.024 | Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 46.642 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| 46.090 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 46.025 | 5% Bing Market Share in March 2024? (No) → GOOG Market Cap Below $1 Trillion by 2025? | Binary |
| 45.717 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
| 45.112 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 42.766 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Washington for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 41.834 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
| 41.654 | Will there be 100 or more homicides in Portland, Oregon in 2023? | Binary |
| 40.892 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Anish Giri) | Binary |
| 39.352 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Terry Gou (Independent)) | Binary |
| 39.322 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Houston Rockets) | Binary |
| 36.502 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Chicago Bulls) | Binary |
| 35.754 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Atlanta Hawks) | Binary |
| 35.579 | What will be the weekly rate of RSV-associated hospitalizations per 100,000 people for the United States for the following weeks? (Jan. 13, 2024) | Continuous |
| 34.791 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Utah Jazz) | Binary |
| 32.382 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Memphis Grizzlies) | Binary |
| 32.206 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Colorado for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 31.976 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
| 31.915 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Brooklyn Nets) | Binary |
| 31.887 | What will be the weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States for the following weeks? (Jan. 27, 2024) | Continuous |
| 31.778 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marco Rubio) | Binary |
| 31.752 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (EPP) | Binary |
| 31.685 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
| 31.550 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
| 31.436 | What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in the United States for the following weeks? (Jan. 27, 2024) | Continuous |
| 31.120 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? (Feb. 10, 2024) | Continuous |
| 30.709 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Portland Trail Blazers) | Binary |
| 29.560 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ben Carson) | Binary |
| 27.656 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Detroit Pistons) | Binary |
| 27.398 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Toronto Raptors) | Binary |
| 27.054 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (San Antonio Spurs) | Binary |
| 26.413 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 26.256 | What will be the weekly rate of RSV-associated hospitalizations per 100,000 people for the United States for the following weeks? (Feb. 10, 2024) | Continuous |
| 25.807 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Charlotte Hornets) | Binary |
| 25.575 | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Jan-24) | Continuous |
| 25.263 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Katie Britt) | Binary |
| 22.372 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 21.943 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 21.396 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 20.797 | How many weeks will influenza-like illness (ILI) activity levels be at "high" or above in at least five states during the 2023-2024 season? | Continuous |
| 20.462 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Washington Wizards) | Binary |
| 19.345 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
| 18.570 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Texas for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 17.585 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 17.135 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (RSV) | Continuous |
| 15.247 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Gukesh Dommaraju) | Binary |
| 13.364 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Florida for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 13.118 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| 8.950 | What will be the weekly rate of RSV-associated hospitalizations per 100,000 people for the United States for the following weeks? (Jan. 27, 2024) | Continuous |
| 8.226 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Eric Schmidt) | Binary |
| 8.226 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Satya Nadella) | Binary |
| 8.072 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Andrej Karpathy) | Binary |
| 8.000 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Ilya Sutskever) | Binary |
| 7.198 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Mira Murati) | Binary |
| 6.964 | When will OpenAI make the GPT-4 model available for free ChatGPT users? | Continuous |
| 6.253 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
| 6.145 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Emmett Shear) | Binary |
| 6.038 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
| 2.765 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Sam Altman) | Binary |
| 1.063 | Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 0.359 | Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (March 1, 2024) | Binary |
| 0.241 | Will GPT-4 input and/or output images? (Input No, Output Yes) | Binary |
| 0.050 | Will a Navy ship be captured, scuttled, sunk, or critically damaged in the Black Sea before 2025? | Binary |
| -1.905 | What will the most expensive AI training run be in the following years, in millions of USD? (2024) | Continuous |
| -2.081 | Will GPT-4 input and/or output images? (Input Yes, Output No) | Binary |
| -2.617 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| -7.431 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| -10.689 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Missouri) | Continuous |
| -11.463 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
| -13.587 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Illinois for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -17.964 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| -25.044 | Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025? | Binary |
| -27.367 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
| -31.682 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| -32.034 | Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| -34.705 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Pennsylvania for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -42.463 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
New York for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -48.118 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| -48.551 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Missouri for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -60.955 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Massachusetts for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -61.300 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
| -128.524 | Will Apple Watch feature a blood pressure monitor before 2025? | Binary |
| -193.641 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, R House, R Senate) | Binary |