| 148.916 | How much money will the FTX Foundation distribute in 2023? | Continuous |
| 120.310 | How many nuclear weapons will states possess on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 113.177 | How many members will NATO have on December 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| 97.426 | What percentage of black voters will vote for a Republican president in the 2024 US presidential election? | Continuous |
| 97.159 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 96.735 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 96.552 | Will there be at least one human fatality in space due to space debris by 2025? | Binary |
| 96.541 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 96.541 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 96.522 | Will space debris kill a human on Earth by 2025? | Binary |
| 95.498 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 95.380 | Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates? (March 15, 2025) | Binary |
| 94.808 | Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 94.687 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 94.188 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 94.188 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 93.839 | By 2024, will Russia clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 93.692 | When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally? | Continuous |
| 93.360 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 93.014 | Will Tesla file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
| 92.756 | Will there be a US-Iran war by 2024? | Binary |
| 92.550 | By 2024, will China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 91.176 | How many UN member states will formally recognize Taiwan at the end of 2025? | Continuous |
| 90.916 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 90.762 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 90.504 | By 2024, will Russia announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 88.268 | Will the U.S. phase out per-country caps on employment-based visas before 2025? | Binary |
| 87.454 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 86.718 | Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 86.432 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 86.401 | Will there be a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2024? | Binary |
| 86.066 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 85.948 | Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 85.784 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 85.450 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 84.531 | Before 2024, will the ACLU argue that hate speech should not be protected by the First Amendment? | Binary |
| 84.369 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 83.969 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2024) | Binary |
| 83.292 | Will Turkey's annual inflation fall to 4% or less before 2025? | Binary |
| 83.087 | In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 82.474 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 82.393 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 81.228 | Will Gautam Adani be listed in the top 10 of the Forbes' annual 'World's Billionaires List' before 2026? | Binary |
| 81.164 | Will more than 34 countries have committed to a stringent anti-solar-geoengineering pact before 2026? | Binary |
| 81.157 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 81.135 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 80.900 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 80.427 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (FDP) | Binary |
| 80.427 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (Die Linke) | Binary |
| 80.249 | What will inflation in the UK be, given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership candidate contest? (2024) | Continuous |
| 79.909 | Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026? | Binary |
| 79.865 | By 2024, will the US announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 79.587 | Will Costco raise the price of its hot dog and soda combo before 2025? | Binary |
| 79.201 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 78.840 | Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026? | Binary |
| 77.175 | Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025? | Binary |
| 77.149 | Will there be >3,000 nonstrategic nuclear weapons at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 76.862 | Will the UK housing market crash before July 2025? | Binary |
| 76.664 | What will be the average inflation in Turkey from 2022 to 2024 (inclusive)? | Continuous |
| 76.566 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (GrĂŒne) | Binary |
| 76.560 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (AfD) | Binary |
| 76.442 | Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025? | Binary |
| 76.309 | Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 75.357 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
| 74.945 | Will the US propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 74.660 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 74.450 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 74.420 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 74.181 | How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026? | Continuous |
| 74.091 | Will China's GDP grow in Q2 to Q4 2022? | Binary |
| 73.548 | What will be the average inflation in the US from January 2022 to December 2024? | Continuous |
| 73.389 | By 2024, will a nuclear-armed state other than the US, Russia, or China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 72.961 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
| 72.365 | Will at least ten countries have committed to any diplomatic agreement restricting solar geoengineering, before 2026? | Binary |
| 72.157 | Will there be at least one HEMP attack by 2024? | Binary |
| 71.695 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 1) | Binary |
| 71.644 | Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam? | Binary |
| 71.079 | What will the US real annual growth rate be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 70.556 | In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election? | Binary |
| 68.925 | When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election? (2024) | Binary |
| 68.770 | What will be the maximum CPI inflation measured in 2022? | Continuous |
| 68.051 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 2) | Binary |
| 67.977 | Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025? | Binary |
| 67.138 | Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025? | Binary |
| 67.050 | Will Meta Platforms (Facebook) sell Instagram or WhatsApp before 2025? | Binary |
| 66.169 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 65.165 | Will an act such as the JCPA significantly strengthen US news companies' bargaining position before 2025? | Binary |
| 65.020 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
| 64.257 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 64.257 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 64.257 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 64.257 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 64.233 | Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026? | Binary |
| 64.196 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 64.118 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 64.095 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 63.874 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 63.405 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 63.311 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Bloc Québécois) | Binary |
| 63.311 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Green) | Binary |
| 63.311 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (People's) | Binary |
| 62.873 | What will the fed funds rate be on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 62.848 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 62.736 | Will Reddit power user "maxwellhill" be confirmed to be Ghislaine Maxwell before 2026? | Binary |
| 62.627 | Will any state hold a caucus instead of a primary for the Democratic Presidential nomination in 2024? | Binary |
| 62.290 | Will Egypt attempt to damage the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2024? | Binary |
| 61.405 | Will 3M file for bankruptcy before 2026? | Binary |
| 60.358 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 60.163 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 59.668 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (New Democratic) | Binary |
| 59.528 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (SPD) | Binary |
| 59.505 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 58.754 | Will the US CDC sponsor or support a nationwide metagenomic sequencing program before 2025? | Binary |
| 57.310 | Will any nation have less than 10% of their population vaccinated with at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 57.168 | Will an AI system solve one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems before July 2025? | Binary |
| 56.447 | Will meme-based cryptocurrency, Dogecoin (DOGE), be valued at $1 per coin or higher on January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 56.050 | Will US offer India a nuclear submarine before 2026? | Binary |
| 55.158 | Will the EU propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by 2025? | Binary |
| 54.648 | Will Freedom House report that internet freedom has declined every year until 2025? | Binary |
| 53.943 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 53.751 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 53.289 | Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026? | Binary |
| 52.992 | What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 52.642 | When will the UK hold its next general election? | Continuous |
| 51.056 | By 2024, will a party to the NPT withdraw from the treaty? | Binary |
| 50.753 | What will Metaâs yearly operating loss on Reality Labs be? (2025) | Continuous |
| 49.893 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
| 49.861 | Will the US restrict access outside the US to some APIs to generative AI before 2026? | Binary |
| 48.319 | What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024? | Continuous |
| 47.859 | Will the Forethought Foundation have more than two full-time equivalent employees in 2025? | Binary |
| 47.045 | Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 46.789 | Will spending on US office construction be less than $77 Billion USD in 2022? | Binary |
| 46.514 | How many Electoral College votes will the Democratic Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
| 46.319 | Will the US place restrictions on the total compute capacity individuals or companies are allowed to have before 2026? | Binary |
| 44.517 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 43.977 | Will US core CPI inflation rise by more than 3% from December 2021 to December 2022? | Binary |
| 43.870 | Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026? | Binary |
| 43.826 | Will 2022 be warmer than 2021? | Binary |
| 43.561 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (December 31, 2024) | Continuous |
| 43.266 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (CDU/CSU) | Binary |
| 42.387 | Will Cryptocurrency Miners be considered âbrokersâ by the IRS by 2025? | Binary |
| 42.079 | Will the US or California require licenses to train large AI models before 2026? | Binary |
| 41.509 | Will India have at least 200 nuclear warheads at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 41.452 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
| 41.218 | Will the EU phase out high-concentration CO2 stunning or killing of pigs before 2025? | Binary |
| 40.439 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (K. Starmer (Labour)) | Binary |
| 39.353 | Will a cultivated meat company be profitable by April 2023? | Binary |
| 39.095 | Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 38.774 | What will inflation in the UK be, given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership candidate contest? (2023) | Continuous |
| 38.272 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 3) | Binary |
| 37.708 | Will Josh Frydenberg re-enter Australian parliament before the next general election? | Binary |
| 37.626 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 37.264 | Will any of the winners of BARDA's mask innovation challenge be sold on Amazon and cost less than $1 per unit before 2025? | Binary |
| 36.807 | Will more than 2,500 nuclear weapons be ready for use at short notice at the end of 2023, according to the most recent FAS estimates? | Binary |
| 36.616 | Will the US officially state the intention to re-ratify the INF Treaty by 2024? | Binary |
| 35.203 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (September 30, 2024) | Continuous |
| 34.647 | How many dollars' worth of security assistance will the U.S. direct to Ukraine's military from Congress's Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative and Foreign Military Financing programs in FY 2023? | Continuous |
| 34.374 | Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 34.224 | What will be the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Home Price NSA Index for January 2025? | Continuous |
| 34.192 | What will be the total box office gross in the US & Canada in 2022? | Continuous |
| 33.851 | In December 2025, what will UK total national debt (excluding public sector banks) be as a percentage of GDP? | Continuous |
| 33.511 | Will the price of Beyond or Impossible plant-based ground beef go lower than conventional ground beef before April 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 33.370 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (India, Israel or Pakistan) | Binary |
| 33.073 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 32.455 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (March 31, 2024) | Continuous |
| 32.404 | When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party? | Continuous |
| 32.145 | Will there be discussion in mainstream media about an AI arms race in March 2025? | Binary |
| 31.866 | Will the SEC approve any bitcoin ETF before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 31.452 | Will any senior executives of these major public companies be imprisoned for corporate crimes before 2026? | Binary |
| 31.000 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (June 30, 2024) | Continuous |
| 30.977 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (March 31, 2025) | Continuous |
| 30.080 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (South Sudan) | Binary |
| 30.008 | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
| 29.622 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 29.436 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Sam Bankman-Fried) | Binary |
| 29.138 | Will Sadiq Khan win re-election in the 2024 London Mayoral Elections? | Binary |
| 28.639 | When will Julian Assange be extradited to the US? | Continuous |
| 28.538 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (R. Sunak (Tories)) | Binary |
| 27.948 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 27.357 | Will tirzepatide be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA before 2025? | Binary |
| 27.024 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 26.850 | Will Brazil continue to be the largest producer of soybeans in the world in 2022? | Binary |
| 26.631 | Will at least one fire produce smoke plumes that reach into the stratosphere, before 2023? | Binary |
| 26.064 | What retail market share will plant-based milk make up of the total milk category in the US in 2022? | Continuous |
| 24.566 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrat) | Continuous |
| 24.354 | Will any member of the Trump family join Substack by Nov 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 24.293 | What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates? (April 2024) | Continuous |
| 24.199 | Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025? | Binary |
| 23.830 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 23.326 | What will be Turkey's inflation rate on the following dates? (August 2024) | Continuous |
| 22.367 | Will Trevor Milton be convicted on federal fraud charges related to Nikola before 2024? | Binary |
| 22.207 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
| 22.100 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (December 31, 2025) | Continuous |
| 22.053 | Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (European Union) | Binary |
| 21.985 | Will the UK government announce that they will allow street votes to determine planning permissions by December 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 21.903 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (September 30, 2025) | Continuous |
| 21.853 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? | Binary |
| 21.626 | Will Australia hold a Federal Referendum on an "Indigenous Voice to Parliament" before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 21.551 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (June 30, 2025) | Continuous |
| 21.304 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| 19.813 | Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | Binary |
| 19.340 | What will be the lowest US unemployment rate in 2022? | Continuous |
| 19.095 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (BJP) | Binary |
| 19.095 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (INC) | Binary |
| 17.878 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 17.637 | What will be the UK's annual inflation rate in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 16.818 | What will be the total expenditure on the military in the US, in billions USD, in 2022? | Continuous |
| 16.271 | What will be Trump's first retrospective job approval rating? | Continuous |
| 16.033 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
| 15.862 | Will at least two states each increase the size of their nuclear weapons arsenals by at least 25% by 2024? | Binary |
| 15.376 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026? | Binary |
| 15.230 | What will be Turkey's inflation rate on the following dates? (February 2024) | Continuous |
| 13.702 | Will the Coalition win the next Australian federal election? | Binary |
| 13.119 | Will Amazon accept Bitcoin before 2024? | Binary |
| 11.685 | Will global trade as a percentage of GWP exceed 61% by 2026? | Binary |
| 11.103 | When will the next UK general election take place? | Continuous |
| 10.611 | Will India sign the Artemis Accords before 2025? | Binary |
| 10.213 | Will the EU AI Act implement regulations on foundation models? | Binary |
| 10.100 | Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (United States) | Binary |
| 9.677 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 9.626 | Will the floating storage vessel Safer leak at least 10,000 tonnes of oil before 2025? | Binary |
| 8.605 | What will be the annual inflation in Latvia in 2022? | Continuous |
| 8.423 | Will there be a Frontier AI Lab outside the US before 2026? | Binary |
| 7.207 | Will North Korea launch another intercontinental ballistic missile before 2024? | Binary |
| 6.453 | Will Norway leave EEA before 2025? | Binary |
| 6.260 | BTC outperforms VSS from 2021-03-01 until 2026? | Binary |
| 5.706 | Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026? | Binary |
| 5.545 | When will FromSoftware release Elden Ring? | Continuous |
| 5.332 | What will Bitcoin's percentage of total crypto market capitalization be in 2025? | Continuous |
| 5.077 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Futbol Club Barcelona) | Binary |
| 5.077 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Al-Hilal Saudi Football Club) | Binary |
| 5.077 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Atlético Newell's Old Boys) | Binary |
| 5.077 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Manchester City Football Club) | Binary |
| 5.077 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Internacional de FĂștbol Miami) | Binary |
| 4.611 | Will Magnus Carlsen compete in the next World Chess Championship match? | Binary |
| 3.520 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Conservative) | Continuous |
| 3.486 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Nishad Singh) | Binary |
| 3.301 | Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026? | Binary |
| 2.947 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (DUP) | Continuous |
| 2.914 | Will Bitcoin outperform VTI from 2021-Mar-01 until 2026? | Binary |
| 2.512 | Will someone agree to participate in a Rootclaim challenge before 2025? | Binary |
| 1.398 | When will the UK Labour Party next maintain a 10-point polling lead for a month? | Continuous |
| 1.218 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Greens) | Continuous |
| 0.980 | Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.793 | Before 2025, will the US FDA authorize use of an at-home over-the-counter rapid test for influenza? | Binary |
| 0.726 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Labour) | Continuous |
| 0.653 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 0.100 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Caroline Ellison) | Binary |
| -0.018 | Will the Somerton Man's DNA match that of "Jestyn's" family? | Binary |
| -0.464 | Will there be a Frontier AI lab in a non-Democracy before 2026? | Binary |
| -0.949 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Gary Wang) | Binary |
| -0.975 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Reform) | Continuous |
| -2.303 | Will copyright of at least one of the depictions of Mickey Mouse be extended beyond the current deadline of January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -2.517 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| -3.692 | What will be the Shiller P/E ratio of the S&P 500 on January 1, 2025? | Continuous |
| -3.734 | Will Beyond Meat file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
| -7.584 | Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025? | Binary |
| -8.847 | Will Elizabeth Truss become Leader of the UK's Conservative Party before 2025? | Binary |
| -9.013 | Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023? | Binary |
| -9.546 | Will Substack be valued over $1 Billion before 2024? | Binary |
| -9.608 | What will US inflation be in 2022? | Continuous |
| -10.242 | Will Virgin Galactic file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
| -10.252 | Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025? | Binary |
| -11.127 | Will MDMA be FDA-approved for the treatment of PTSD before 2025? | Binary |
| -11.484 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| -13.621 | Will Trump gain at least 10M followers on another platform? | Binary |
| -14.663 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| -15.499 | Before 2024, will North Korea possess enough fissile material to make at least 100 warheads? | Binary |
| -20.873 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -22.466 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| -22.891 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Conservative) | Binary |
| -23.428 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -24.233 | Will Amy Wax no longer have tenure at a top-24 US university before 2026? | Binary |
| -24.300 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| -25.534 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| -28.660 | Will GB News be broadcasting in 2025? | Binary |
| -30.964 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Liberal) | Binary |
| -32.640 | Will Google block third-party cookies on Chrome before 2024? | Binary |
| -33.140 | Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (United Kingdom) | Binary |
| -34.236 | Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | Binary |
| -35.451 | Will the United States score in the bottom 50% for academic freedom in 2025 (according to the AFI)? | Binary |
| -36.480 | Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| -37.644 | Will SciHub or a successor organisation exist and be uploading new articles in 2023? | Binary |
| -49.650 | Will Apple adopt RCS technology for iPhones before 2026? | Binary |
| -54.061 | How many plug-in electric vehicle sales will there be in the US in 2022? | Continuous |
| -54.758 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Sam Trabucco) | Binary |
| -71.288 | By 2024, will the next Nuclear Posture Review explicitly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| -80.976 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -86.512 | Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) be passed before 2025? | Binary |
| -95.922 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2024) | Binary |
| -111.151 | Will JetBlue announce that it has acquired Spirit Airlines before 2026? | Binary |
| -115.382 | Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026? | Binary |
| -129.614 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
| -153.295 | Will OpenAI release an LLM product or API that hallucinates 5x less than GPT-4 did when it was released, by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
| -178.164 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |