| 97.807 | Before July 1, 2024, will the International Criminal Court issue arrest warrants for any of the listed Israeli leaders? | Binary |
| 97.806 | Will a terrorist act occur in metropolitan France during the 2024 Summer Olympics? | Binary |
| 95.378 | Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 94.679 | Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 94.653 | Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 89.990 | Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI (again) before 2025? | Binary |
| 89.211 | Will X declare bankruptcy in 2024? | Binary |
| 88.403 | Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024? | Binary |
| 87.248 | Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024? | Binary |
| 87.248 | Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024? | Binary |
| 87.169 | In 2024 will there be any change in the composition of the US Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 86.017 | Will the submarine cables running through the Red Sea be damaged by a hostile actor before the 15th of March? | Binary |
| 85.951 | Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024? | Binary |
| 85.934 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2025? | Binary |
| 85.540 | Will Ukraine control central Bakhmut at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 84.641 | Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024? | Binary |
| 83.411 | Will the Crimean Bridge be hit with an attack before the listed dates? (July 1, 2024) | Binary |
| 81.333 | Will Nvidia be in the top four companies by market capitalization on March 29, 2024? | Binary |
| 78.243 | Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War? | Binary |
| 77.552 | Will a crewed Artemis II flight approach the moon in 2024? | Binary |
| 76.778 | Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 76.287 | Will a journalist or an opposition politician be charged in connection with the assassination attempt on Slovak PM Robert Fico, before June 15, 2024? | Binary |
| 75.030 | Which school will be #1 in the QS World University Rankings 2025, scheduled to be released on June 4, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 73.778 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 73.778 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 73.778 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| 73.778 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 73.778 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 73.778 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 73.778 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 73.778 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Tammy Duckworth) | Binary |
| 73.778 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Roy Cooper) | Binary |
| 73.778 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Amy Klobuchar) | Binary |
| 73.778 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Michael Bennet) | Binary |
| 73.778 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Jeff Jackson) | Binary |
| 73.778 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gina Raimondo) | Binary |
| 73.778 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gary Peters) | Binary |
| 73.132 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Andy Beshear) | Binary |
| 72.980 | Will the Crimean Bridge be hit with an attack before the listed dates? (May 9, 2024) | Binary |
| 72.876 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Mark Kelly) | Binary |
| 72.332 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 72.190 | Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2025? | Binary |
| 71.640 | Will Russia and Ukraine sign or prolong natural gas transit deal before 2025? | Binary |
| 69.832 | Will a US Vice Presidential debate be held before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 69.261 | Will the Fed Funds Rate on December 31, 2024 be below 4%? | Binary |
| 69.077 | Will at least 50 Kenyan military or police personnel arrive in Haiti before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 68.487 | What will the US Supreme Court decide regarding Chevron deference in its 2023-2024 term? | Multiple Choice |
| 67.749 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Josh Shapiro) | Binary |
| 67.346 | Will gang leader José Adolfo Macías Villamar ('Fito') be in Ecuadorian custody before April 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 64.610 | Will YouTube be banned in Russia before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 63.695 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 63.459 | Will there be a US presidential debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris held on September 10, 2024? | Binary |
| 61.614 | Ukraine Controls Bakhmut at End of 2024? (No) → Russo-Ukraine cease-fire in 2024 | Binary |
| 61.292 | Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of semaglutide for the treatment of obesity or diabetes in 2024? | Binary |
| 60.326 | Will an AI win a coding contest on Codeforces in 2024? | Binary |
| 56.811 | Will California Senate Bill 1047, the "Safe and Secure Innovation for Frontier Artificial Intelligence Models Act," be enacted before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 56.799 | Will OpenAI publish information describing Q* (Q-Star) in 2024? | Binary |
| 56.774 | Will the US restrict Chinese AI developers' access to US cloud compute before 2025? | Binary |
| 54.931 | Will Paul Christiano be publicly confirmed to be joining the US AI Safety Institute before April 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 54.199 | Will Bitcoin go up over 2024? | Binary |
| 52.865 | Will the "Dune: Part Two" domestic opening box office be greater than that of "Dune (2021)"? | Binary |
| 49.227 | Will a US Vice Presidential debate be held before Election Day (Nov. 5) 2024? | Binary |
| 48.787 | Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2024? | Binary |
| 48.250 | Will a debate be held between Joe Biden and Donald Trump before the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 48.046 | Which party will win the 2024 US presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 45.688 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Venezuela? | Multiple Choice |
| 45.675 | Will Germany supply Ukraine with a Taurus missile in 2024? | Binary |
| 44.438 | What coalition will the Prime Minister of France belong to on July 30, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 44.337 | Will Nikki Haley end her 2024 primary campaign before March 15, 2024? | Binary |
| 44.334 | Will diplomatic expulsions or recalls take place between the Philippines and China before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 43.675 | Which team will win the 2024 Indian Premier League final? | Multiple Choice |
| 42.677 | Who will win the 2024 Mexican Presidential Election? | Multiple Choice |
| 42.176 | Will Pedro Sanchez announce his resignation as Prime Minister of Spain before April 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 39.370 | Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 33.065 | Will Israel expand its ground invasion to the city of Rafah before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 31.470 | Will the governor of Gagauzia, Evghenia Guțul, travel to the Russian Federation before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 27.846 | How many times will Donald Trump debate the Democratic nominee for president in 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 26.230 | Will Joe Biden announce before July 15, 2024 that he will not accept the Democratic Party's nomination for President? | Binary |
| 24.934 | Will the US Federal Reserve make an emergency rate cut before September 17, 2024? | Binary |
| 23.925 | Will President Biden issue an executive order on immigration before the State of the Union on March 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 22.452 | When will the third Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff? | Continuous |
| 22.080 | 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee? (Joe Biden) (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 22.054 | What will be the value of Bitcoin (in USD) on April 1, 2024? | Continuous |
| 21.249 | Will Sheikh Hasina get asylum in the United Kingdom before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 20.148 | Will there be 1000 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2025? | Binary |
| 19.352 | When will Starship next reach an altitude of at least 200 kilometers? | Continuous |
| 18.947 | Will Donald Trump testify at the hush money trial? | Binary |
| 17.085 | Will Ariel Henry return to Haiti before March 13, 2024? | Binary |
| 16.378 | Will Donald Trump win the most delegates in the 2024 New Hampshire primary? | Binary |
| 15.049 | Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024? | Binary |
| 11.344 | Which country will win the UEFA Euro 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 10.433 | Will the Columbia University Senate vote to censure university president Nemat Shafik on or before April 26, 2024? | Binary |
| 8.384 | Will Kimberly Cheatle remain Director of the United States Secret Service through September 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 6.146 | Will a new or extended state of emergency be declared in Ecuador before April 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 5.477 | Will the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election win the popular vote? | Binary |
| 5.152 | Will the Republican Party retain New York's 3rd congressional district (previously held by George Santos) in the special election? | Binary |
| 4.500 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| 4.226 | Will the United States strike the Iranian military before February 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 4.164 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Maryland) | Binary |
| 3.783 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| 3.163 | Will the United States government either ban TikTok or force a sale before 2025? | Binary |
| 2.066 | Will the 2024 Indonesian presidential election go to a runoff? | Binary |
| 1.426 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| 1.073 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Montana) | Binary |
| 1.057 | Which country will win the 2024 Eurovision song contest? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.957 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| 0.936 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Nebraska (Class I)) | Binary |
| 0.771 | Before April 1 2024, will the Supreme Court agree to hear an appeal from Donald Trump on the question of presidential immunity? | Binary |
| 0.760 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.472 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 0.462 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 0.455 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
| 0.305 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 0.292 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Missouri) | Binary |
| 0.146 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 0.063 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Florida) | Binary |
| -1.006 | For how many seconds will Taylor Swift appear on screen during the Super Bowl? | Continuous |
| -3.247 | Before April 1, 2024, will Fani Willis cease to be an attorney for the prosecution in the State of Georgia v. Donald Trump, et al. case? | Binary |
| -3.720 | [Short Fuse] Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII? | Binary |
| -4.720 | Will Biden and Trump Debate in 2024? (Yes) → 2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| -5.021 | Will Republicans win the most votes in the 2024 elections for the House of Representatives? | Binary |
| -5.883 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| -10.697 | Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -11.526 | Will India enact a law expanding the Minimum Support Price for crops before April 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -16.710 | Will Sir Lindsay Hoyle remain speaker of the House of Commons until March 1st 2024? | Binary |
| -22.268 | Will Ilya Sutskever still lead OpenAI’s Superalignment team at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| -23.536 | Will Pavel Durov leave France before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -25.795 | Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024? | Binary |
| -32.457 | Will Donald Trump and Kamala Harris shake hands in any of their debates, if any happen? | Binary |
| -34.041 | Will the National Assembly of Hungary approve Sweden's NATO accession before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -35.788 | Will the WHO declare a global health emergency (PHEIC) in 2024? | Binary |
| -37.196 | Will Macky Sall step down as president of Senegal at or before the currently scheduled end of his term? | Binary |
| -43.846 | Will Iran carry out a deadly attack within Israel before September 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -44.784 | Will Donald Trump be convicted of a felony before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| -51.032 | What will be the price of Boeing stock (in USD) at market close on March 29, 2024? | Continuous |
| -52.056 | On June 28th, 2024, will Nvidia's market capitalization be larger than Apple's? | Binary |
| -55.901 | Will the Pandemic Agreement be approved at the May 2024 World Health Assembly? | Binary |
| -56.820 | Will Israel expand its ground invasion to the city of Rafah on or before the first day of Ramadan (before March 12, 2024)? | Binary |
| -77.037 | Will Iran carry out a deadly attack within Israel before May 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -80.481 | Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election? | Binary |
| -82.099 | Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2024? | Binary |
| -85.282 | Will UCLA hold its in-person, university-wide graduation commencement ceremonies scheduled for June 14, 2024? | Binary |
| -88.715 | Will the US or EU seize Russian sovereign assets in 2024? | Binary |
| -92.135 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024? | Binary |
| -93.189 | Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024? | Binary |
| -102.838 | Will leading Democratic lawmakers publicly call for Joe Biden to end his candidacy for the Democratic nomination before August 7, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| -116.311 | What percentage of the vote will Donald Trump win in the 2024 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary? | Continuous |
| -135.639 | Will there be a new confrontation between Chinese and Philippine military vessels before April 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -150.683 | Will the International Seabed Authority Secretary-General Michael Lodge be re-elected for a third term in the July elections? | Binary |
| -167.944 | Will Ariel Henry cease to be Acting Prime Minister or Prime Minister of Haiti before April 1, 2024, for any reason? | Binary |
| -216.875 | Will US refugee admissions exceed 100,000 in fiscal year 2024? | Binary |
| -242.319 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspend his 2024 presidential campaign by October 22, 2024? | Binary |
| -380.212 | Will Israel carry out a deadly attack within Iran before May 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -503.793 | Will Trump and Biden shake hands in any of their debates? | Binary |