| 98.611 | Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion? | Binary |
| 97.076 | What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025? | Continuous |
| 93.421 | Will Ghislaine Maxwell give oral testimony on the Epstein Files or Epstein's relationship with Trump in a hearing at the US Congress before 2026? | Binary |
| 88.446 | How many US military personnel will be killed by Iran or its proxies before 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 87.193 | Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025? | Binary |
| 85.996 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka) | Binary |
| 85.370 | Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025? | Binary |
| 85.185 | Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025? | Binary |
| 84.871 | Will the government of Greenland officially announce a date for an independence referendum, before April 6, 2025? | Binary |
| 84.777 | Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 84.760 | Will a vote of no confidence pass the French National Assembly before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
| 82.190 | Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 81.745 | Will the US strike Iran by the end of May 2025? | Binary |
| 80.849 | Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 80.391 | Will SpaceX have a Falcon 9 launch failure in 2025? | Binary |
| 80.153 | Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 79.652 | Will either the TurkStream or Blue Stream pipeline unexpectedly cease transporting gas at any point in 2025? | Binary |
| 79.485 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk) | Binary |
| 78.852 | Will the world's five largest companies at the end of 2025 be in the tech sector? | Binary |
| 77.205 | Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada? | Multiple Choice |
| 76.693 | Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026? | Binary |
| 75.989 | Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 75.115 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI be released in Europe in 2025? | Binary |
| 75.087 | Will India surpass Germany in GDP by the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 74.921 | Who will be elected governor of New Jersey in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 74.824 | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | Binary |
| 74.746 | Will Israel lift the blockade to humanitarian aid into Gaza before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 74.444 | What will be be the price of Gold per troy ounce on May 16, 2025? | Continuous |
| 73.149 | Which of the 2025 Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections will the Democrats win? | Multiple Choice |
| 70.603 | Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025? | Binary |
| 70.327 | Before July 15, 2025, will Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom be the highest polling party in the Netherlands by at least 5 points, according to Politico? | Binary |
| 69.920 | Will California's Proposition 50 (allowing redistricting of House seats) pass in the 2025 election? | Binary |
| 69.558 | On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment? | Binary |
| 69.214 | Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025? | Binary |
| 68.277 | Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 65.912 | What percent of Americans will hold a favorable view of China per the Pew Research Center's 2025 annual poll? | Continuous |
| 65.717 | Will The United States Give Israel Bunker Busting Bombs By The End of June 2025? | Binary |
| 65.450 | When will the Myanmar military junta collapse? | Multiple Choice |
| 64.126 | Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025? | Binary |
| 62.901 | Will the IBEX 35 close 2025 higher than it started? | Binary |
| 61.402 | Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 60.964 | Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024? | Binary |
| 58.923 | Will DeepSeek be ranked higher than ChatGPT on the AppStore on April 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 58.376 | What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025? | Continuous |
| 57.969 | What will the total number of Tesla vehicle deliveries be for Q1 2025? | Continuous |
| 57.848 | Will the SAF maintain control of both Khartoum city center and el-Obeid in North Kordofan through December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 57.420 | Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after? | Multiple Choice |
| 55.683 | Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024? | Binary |
| 54.400 | Will the US lift the price cap on Russian oil before July 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 54.017 | Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025? | Binary |
| 52.354 | Чи отримає Україна Тауруси до липня 2025? / Will Ukraine acquire Taurus missiles before July 2025? | Binary |
| 52.245 | Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025? | Binary |
| 50.864 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad) | Binary |
| 47.764 | Will SpaceX launch the Starship three or more times in the second half of 2025? | Binary |
| 47.641 | Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%? | Binary |
| 44.473 | Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi? | Binary |
| 43.212 | Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026? | Binary |
| 42.410 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
| 42.321 | How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025? | Continuous |
| 41.444 | What will be the IMDb rating of Severance's second season finale? | Continuous |
| 37.877 | Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 37.370 | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
| 36.121 | Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025? | Binary |
| 35.815 | When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Winners announced!) | Continuous |
| 35.383 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025? | Binary |
| 34.539 | Will the US stock market go down by more than 5% in any week in the 4th quarter of 2025? | Binary |
| 31.949 | What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)? | Continuous |
| 31.691 | What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025? | Continuous |
| 31.005 | Will US imports from Brazil in November 2025 exceed those of November 2024? | Binary |
| 30.792 | How many commercial passenger flights will depart from Damascus International Airport in February, 2025? | Continuous |
| 30.164 | How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 29.586 | Who will win the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Championship? | Multiple Choice |
| 29.232 | What will be the highest price of Bitcoin in 2025? | Continuous |
| 28.945 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN) | Continuous |
| 27.886 | Will the US officially announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops out of Syria before April, 2025? | Binary |
| 26.866 | Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025? | Binary |
| 24.386 | Will S&P 500 recover half its drop by April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 23.660 | Where will ManticAI place in the Metaculus Cup Fall 2025 leaderboard? | Continuous |
| 22.930 | Will inflation-adjusted gas prices rise in the US in 2025? | Binary |
| 22.509 | Will Călin Georgescu be elected President of Romania after the 2025 elections? | Binary |
| 22.240 | Will the US national debt be under $38 trillion on September 30, 2025? | Binary |
| 19.569 | Will Omar Fateh be elected mayor of Minneapolis, Minnesota in 2025? | Binary |
| 18.051 | Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025? | Binary |
| 17.139 | How many seconds until midnight will the Doomsday Clock show on January 29, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 17.030 | Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025? | Binary |
| 16.169 | What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025? | Continuous |
| 15.118 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD) | Continuous |
| 13.825 | Will the poverty rate in Argentina be lower in the first half of 2025 compared to the second half of 2023? | Binary |
| 12.860 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)) | Binary |
| 12.572 | Will President Trump formally invoke the Insurrection Act before 2026? | Binary |
| 12.535 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)) | Binary |
| 11.179 | Which of the five largest companies in the world will see the highest stock price growth in February and March, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 11.117 | Will the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) go on strike before February 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 10.709 | Will Pierre Poilievre be elected Prime Minister of Canada in 2025? | Binary |
| 10.443 | What will be the total number of forecasters in the Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup? | Continuous |
| 10.343 | Will a suspected shooter in the assassination of political activist Charlie Kirk be neutralized before September 19, 2025? | Binary |
| 10.276 | Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025? | Binary |
| 9.532 | Will PEPFAR funding be resumed before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 8.288 | Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025? | Binary |
| 8.153 | Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran before August 2025? | Binary |
| 7.580 | What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025? | Continuous |
| 7.491 | What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
| 7.418 | Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024? | Binary |
| 7.142 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights) | Continuous |
| 5.363 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet with Donald Trump again before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 4.779 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? | Binary |
| 4.701 | Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025? | Binary |
| 3.847 | What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025? | Continuous |
| 3.390 | Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026? | Binary |
| 3.336 | Will the Trump administration impose new tariffs on the EU before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 2.329 | Will the US government shutdown end before November 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 1.589 | Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025? | Binary |
| 1.389 | Will Daniel Noboa be elected President of Ecuador in 2025? | Binary |
| 0.805 | What will be the estimated number of average viewers of Super Bowl LIX? | Continuous |
| 0.699 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey) | Continuous |
| 0.691 | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Ecuadorian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.484 | Will any top US official visit Greenland in 2025? | Binary |
| -5.635 | Will WTI crude oil drop below $65 per barrel and stays there for 1 week before the 3rd quarter of 2025? | Binary |
| -10.039 | Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025? | Binary |
| -13.296 | Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025? | Binary |
| -13.824 | What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025? | Continuous |
| -13.990 | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
| -16.450 | What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025? | Continuous |
| -18.542 | Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026? | Binary |
| -20.011 | Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026? | Binary |
| -22.026 | How many parties will be in the next German parliament? | Multiple Choice |
| -32.238 | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |
| -35.849 | Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024? | Binary |
| -46.054 | Will Boeing's stock price exceed $210 on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| -49.037 | Will the White House revoke the media credentials of reporters from two media outlets before 2026? | Binary |
| -65.175 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk) | Binary |
| -66.594 | What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter? | Continuous |
| -114.235 | Will there be another deadly clash between Thailand and Cambodia, resulting in three or more fatalities, before 2026? | Binary |
| -137.781 | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
| -414.168 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print)) | Binary |
| -553.232 | Will the United States conduct a military attack within Nigeria before 2026? | Binary |