Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

Metaculus News

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

Global Health Monitor Update September 2026

Sep 17, 2026•by gracemclain• no comments•2 min read

Announcing the Winners of Forecasting the Upstart Macro Index

Sep 16, 2026•by urgentfutures•5 comments•2 min read

What Happens Now? Forecasting the Fallout from the Hugging Face Incident

Sep 15, 2026•by urgentfutures• no comments•14 min read

Announcing the Metaculus Cup Fall 2026 with Kiko Llaneras!

Sep 4, 2026•by skmmcj•10 comments•2 min read

Advice from Bot Makers to Bot Makers (Spring 2026)

Sep 2, 2026•by BenWilson• no comments•17 min read

Spring 2026 Bot Maker Survey: What Forecasting Strategy Works Best?

Sep 2, 2026•by BenWilson• no comments•14 min read

Pros Beat Bots, but the Gap is Nearly Gone

Sep 2, 2026•by johnnycaffeine•1 comment•29 min read

Global Health Monitor update August 2026

Aug 28, 2026•by gracemclain• no comments•2 min read

Integrated Strategic Forecasting: A New RAND x Metaculus Methodology

Aug 25, 2026•by sandman• no comments•2 min read

Last Call: Labor Automation Comment Prize Closes September 1

Aug 24, 2026•by urgentfutures•2 comments•1 min read

Announcing the Global Health Monitor 2026/27

Aug 11, 2026•by urgentfutures• no comments•1 min read

Labor Automation Forecasting Hub: July 2026 Updates

Jul 30, 2026•by gracemclain• no comments•2 min read

Got Opinions on AI & Labor? The Labor Automation Tournament Comment Prize Deadline is September 1.

Jul 21, 2026•by urgentfutures•1 comment•2 min read

Respiratory Outlook July Update: Screwworm continues US spread as Ebola outbreak surges in DRC

Jul 17, 2026•by gracemclain• no comments•2 min read

The Market Pulse Challenge 26Q3 is Live!

Jul 8, 2026•by urgentfutures•4 comments•2 min read

Respiratory Outlook June Update: New World Screwworm Enters the US

Jun 18, 2026•by gracemclain• no comments•2 min read

The Next Spot Scoring Date for the U.S. Democracy Threat Index is July 15

Jun 18, 2026•by urgentfutures• no comments•1 min read

Which Jobs will Survive AI? See Our New Occupation Forecast Pages

Jun 18, 2026•by urgentfutures•5 comments•3 min read