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Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

Jul 2, 2025•by skmmcj• no comments•1 min read

📈Market Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

Jul 2, 2025•by skmmcj•1 comment•2 min read

Q1 AI Benchmark Results: Pro Forecasters Crush Bots

Jun 21, 2025•by BenWilson•3 comments•31 min read

Important Updates to Prediction Auto-withdrawal

Jun 18, 2025•by sandman•69 comments•4 min read

Analysis of Automated Prompt Engineering for Forecasting

Jun 9, 2025•by BenWilson•2 comments•10 min read

Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Is Live! New Tools & Multi-Bot Creation

Apr 16, 2025•by christian• no comments•2 min read

Fiscal Showdown 2025 Is Live — $5,000 Prize Pool

Apr 10, 2025•by christian•2 comments•2 min read

Join the Market Pulse Challenge: $7,500 in Prizes

Apr 1, 2025•by RyanBeck•2 comments•1 min read

New Questions Live in $15k POTUS Predictions Tournament

Mar 28, 2025•by RyanBeck•11 comments•2 min read

New: make continuous predictions with your keyboard!

Mar 17, 2025•by Sylvain•26 comments•2 min read

Open Role: Operations Lead

Mar 12, 2025•by christian• no comments•4 min read

Metaculus's First Spanish-Language Contest: Kiko Llaneras Tournament 🔮

Feb 28, 2025•by christian•6 comments•1 min read

Build Your Own Forecasting Bot in 30 Minutes With Our Tutorial Video

Feb 21, 2025•by christian•15 comments•4 min read

Q4 AI Benchmarking: Bots Are Closing The Gap

Feb 19, 2025•by sandman•11 comments•18 min read

The State of Metaculus

Feb 4, 2025•by christian•38 comments•9 min read

Announcing the 2025 Bridgewater Contest Winners!

Feb 2, 2025•by christian•53 comments•5 min read

Announcing Indexes: Big Questions, Quantified

Jan 24, 2025•by sandman•27 comments•4 min read

Announcing: The ACX 2024 Prediction Contest Winners!

Jan 16, 2025•by RyanBeck•4 comments•3 min read

The ACX 2025 Prediction Contest Is Live!

Jan 10, 2025•by christian•7 comments•1 min read

Forecast 2025 With Vox's Future Perfect Team — $2,500 Prize Pool

Dec 20, 2024•by christian•6 comments•2 min read

How "Scope Sensitive" are o1-preview and GPT4o's forecasts? Not very.

Dec 9, 2024•by Tom_Metaculus•3 comments•3 min read

Follow, Predict, Withdraw, Find, Predict again

Dec 9, 2024•by Sylvain•13 comments•2 min read

Collaborative Intelligence: Harnessing Crowd Forecasting for National Security

Dec 4, 2024•by deger• no comments•6 min read

Conference Summary: Threshold 2030 - Modeling AI Economic Futures

Nov 19, 2024•by dyncheng•4 comments•9 min read

Forecast With GiveWell: $3,500 in Prizes for Comments Made by End of December!

Oct 23, 2024•by RyanBeck•5 comments•2 min read

Predictions as Public Works Project — What Metaculus Is Building Next

Oct 21, 2024•by Sylvain• no comments•8 min read

A Massive Rewrite, A Slate of Improvements, and Going Open Source

Oct 7, 2024•by Sylvain•531 comments•5 min read

(10/4 Update) AI Forecasting Benchmark Series — 10/8 Q4 Launch and More

Sep 30, 2024•by christian•2 comments•3 min read

(10/4 Update) Updates to Metaculus API

Sep 30, 2024•by christian•2 comments•3 min read

Predict the Impact of the 2024 US Presidential Election

Sep 25, 2024•by RyanBeck• no comments•1 min read