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Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?

Google DeepMind50%
Microsoft25%
Meta14%
and 14 others

Of the top 10 AI companies, how many will pledge not to develop lethal autonomous weapons?

result2

Before 2030, how many new AI labs will be leading labs within 2 years of their founding?

0 or 148.9%
2 or 337.4%
4 or 511.4%
and 3 others

Watch Recordings From Metaculus Presents

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