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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

28%chance

Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years

26
8 comments8

What will be the average overall Global Health Security Index score for 2030?

48.9
points

Will there be adversarial use of consumer genomic data before 2030?

73%chance

When will an algorithm be able to predict the Big Five personality traits of a person from a naturalistic photograph or video?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

>31 Dec 2025

When will a biocomputer be able to perform an SHA-256 hash?

Dec 2045

Will a cryptocurrency be created using a quantum random number generator by 2036?

67%chance

Will the first offensive nuclear detonation by 2024 be of a nonstrategic nuclear weapon, if there's an offensive detonation by then?

Annulled

What proportion of offensive nuclear detonations by 2030 will be of nonstrategic nuclear weapons, if there's at least one offensive detonation by then?

0.835%

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

Sep 2045