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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

Iran66%
Saudi Arabia15%
South Korea10%
and 7 others

Will the ceasefire in Yemen hold for its intended duration?

resultYes

When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?

00

How many people will be estimated to have died of famine in Yemen before 2022?

Ambiguous

How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO East Mediterranean region by March 27?

result35.249k

Future Perfect 2021 Series

7
1 comment1
Future Perfect 2021 Series

Will the floating storage vessel Safer leak at least 10,000 tonnes of oil before 2025?

resultNo

Will the oil transfer from the FSO Safer finish in 19 days?

resultYes

Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World

2
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

Will the submarine cables running through the Red Sea be damaged by a hostile actor before the 15th of March?

resultNo