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Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

2%chance

41 comments

143 forecasters

Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?

resultYes

8 comments

39 forecasters

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

Current estimate

78.8k deaths

2 comments

15 forecasters

When will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000?

Current estimate

Aug 2033

4 comments

15 forecasters

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

RSV3.59

Flu10

COVID-194.13

9 comments

54 forecasters

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

3%chance

2% this week

24 comments

22 forecasters

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?

condition

Will USDA license HPAI H5 vax in dairy cows by July 1, 2025?

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

124

Resolved:Annulled

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

144

13 13 comments

17 forecasters

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

23 comments

52 forecasters

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

Current estimate

84 cases

Sharpen the Respiratory Outlook for 2025/26

0 comments

Respiratory Outlook 2025/26