Question Feed | Metaculus

Announcing the Metaculus Cup Fall 2026 with Kiko Llaneras!

5

Announcing: Forecasting the Upstart Macro Index - $10,000 Prize Pool

9

Last Call: Labor Automation Comment Prize Closes September 1

2

Forecasting the Future of Animals: $3,400 in prizes

9

Will a U.S. cabinet agency award a $100m firm benefit after a $1m expenditure to a group or cryptocurrency linked to the president in the following years?

2

102

Got Opinions on AI & Labor? The Labor Automation Tournament Comment Prize Deadline is September 1.

3

Winners of the Question Links contest for the Spring Cup

3

Which of BTC, ETH, BNB, and XRP will have the highest 7-day percentage price gain over the week ending June 28, 2026?

95

A major "theft" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?

result: yes

10

45

ResolvedYes

Build Your Own Forecasting Bot in 30 Minutes With Our Tutorial Video

8

Announcing the US Midterms 2026 Tournament - $10,000 Prize Pool

10

Will China remove the total ban on cryptocurrency before 2032?

50% chance

1

15

50%chance

On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?

result: no

140

2.9k

ResolvedNo

In what year will the XTX AI International Math Olympiad main prize be won?

3

25

How Will AI Change Work? Forecast the Future of Labor Automation — $35,000 in Prizes

13

What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025?

60.9% (60.5 - 61.3)

22

1k

Resolved61.3%

When will 1 bitcoin be worth $1,000,000 (2020 USD) or more?

Mar 2043 (Mar 2034 - Feb 2074)

37

267

Mar 2043

(Mar 2034 - Feb 2074)

Will cryptocurrencies account for at least 1% of U.S. retail payments before January 1, 2035?

86% chance

4

35

86%chance

Will the total market cap of all cryptocurrencies be more than $1.5 trillion and less than or equal to $2 trillion on September 29, 2024?

result: no

33

ResolvedNo

Will the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies exceed that of all mined gold before 2035?

40% chance

8

43

40%chance

Keynesian Groupy Contest: interquartile range

8

18

How big will the Trade Signal Tournament prize pool be on 2021-09-30?

1493 (1291 - 1726)

8

30

Resolved1495.4