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The 2026 US Midterms Tracker is Live!

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Announcing the US Midterms 2026 Tournament - $10,000 Prize Pool

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$10,000 Prize Pool for the U.S. Democracy Threat Index

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Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?

7% chance

2

42

42 forecasters

7%chance

Which anonymous administration figure authored the NYT editorial?

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Future Perfect 2021 Series

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Public Figures: New Figure Suggestions

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183 183 comments

"Foot Voting" Coordination Efforts

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The Expansion of Executive War Powers

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Results of 2020 U.S. Election Risks Survey

Metaculus on the election

Forecast International Elections With Data Journalist Kiko Llaneras

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