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0 comments
101 forecasters

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

2%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
68 forecasters

Will the 2025 North Atlantic Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) be at least 110.0 units by 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2025?

Current estimate
Revealed in 1 hour
0 comments
95 forecasters

How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?

Latest estimate
40.7M birds

This question is closed for forecasting.

96 comments
96 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 20.00% on 2025-11-07 for the Metaculus question "Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?"?

resultNo
13 comments
16 forecasters

What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2025-2026 season?

H3N268.8
H1N136
H5<0.1
0 comments
106 forecasters

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

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113
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Metaculus Meta

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
66 comments
AI Pathways Tournament

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

0 comments

If the price of the highest-quality hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% everywhere, how many more/fewer chickens would be consumed globally in the year 2030 (as a +/- percent)?

Current estimate

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

0 comments

Median prob. among Unjournal experts: “If the price of the... hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% ... how many more/fewer chickens consumed globally in 2030 (+/- percent)?

Current estimate