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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
5
5
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap
5
0
comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
0
comments
88
forecasters
What will be CDC’s highest assessment of the risk posed by H5 bird flu to the US general public before January 1, 2026?
Low
78.1%
Moderate (or medium or equivalent)
18.8%
High (or above, such as Very High)
3.1%
This question is closed for forecasting.
10
comments
8
forecasters
Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?
15%
chance
0
comments
97
forecasters
Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?
15%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
Platform feature suggestions
113
3.1k
3.1k
comments
Metaculus Meta
Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
16
6
6
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
12
comments
215
forecasters
How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?
Current estimate
56.2M birds
Contributed by the
AI 2025 Forecasting Survey
community.
1
comment
9
forecasters
What will be the best score on Cybench by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
82.6%
0
comments
94
forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 20.00% on 2025-10-22 for the Metaculus question "Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?"?
35%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
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