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The Patchwork Future: An Exercise in Interpolation

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AI Progress Essay Contest

Will RoboCup announce that robots have beaten professional human soccer players before 2050?

55%chance

After a (weak) AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent AI is created?

28.7
months

When will robots win a game of association football (soccer) against professional human players?

Dec 2044